Mon, Feb 9 2026 • 19:45 •
Stadio Olimpico
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.24)
0.49 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.6% | 24.6% | 11.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.1%
2 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Cagliari | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AS Roma | 0 | 12.8% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.1% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AS Roma | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 41% | 53% |
| Defense | 88% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AS Roma | Cagliari | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 64% | 58% | 61% | 36% | 25% | 30% |
| Draws | 9% | 0% | 4% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
| Loses | 27% | 42% | 35% | 36% | 42% | 39% |
Form: AS Roma: WWLWWWLWWLWWLLWLWLWWWDL • Cagliari: DLWWLDLDLLDDLWLDWLDLWWW
League goals
| Metric | AS Roma | Cagliari | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 13 | 27 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AS Roma | Cagliari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 57% | 70% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 4% | 39% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 0% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AS Roma | Cagliari | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | AS Roma | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AS Roma | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AS Roma | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 82% | 18% |
| Total | 66.2% | 33.8% |
Advice: Double chance : AS Roma or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.53 @ 1xBet
Draw4.27 @ 1xBet
Away8.50 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.22 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.77 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.45 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
AS Roma
vs
Cagliari
Expected goals
1.57
AS Roma xG
League Avg: 1.24
Total
2.06
0.49
Cagliari xG
League Avg: 1.13
1x2 probabilities
Home
63.6%
Draw
24.6%
Away
11.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
20.1%
Tip
2 - 0
15.8%
Tip
0 - 0
12.8%
More chances
1.5+
62%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): AS Roma = 1.57 (league 1.24), Cagliari = 0.49 (league 1.13)
| Cagliari | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AS Roma | 0 | 12.8% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.1% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.6% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 11.2%
vtt 2 , vtd1