Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 18:15 •
Estadio Ciudad de Lucena
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.41)
0.54 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.1% | 14.8% | 6.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.2%
1 - 0
12.7%
3 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Chiclana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ciudad de Lucena | 0 | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.7% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.1% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Chiclana |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 88% |
| Defense | 25% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Chiclana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 90% | 25% | 55% | 55% | 20% | 38% |
| Draws | 10% | 42% | 27% | 18% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 18% | 27% | 30% | 29% |
Form: Ciudad de Lucena: WLWLWDWWDDWDWDDWWLWLWW • Chiclana: WLLWDDWLLWWLWDWDWLDDD
League goals
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Chiclana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 15 | 39 | 17 | 11 | 28 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ciudad de Lucena | Chiclana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 45% | 81% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 23% | 38% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 9% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Chiclana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Chiclana |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Chiclana |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Chiclana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.2% |
Advice: Winner : Ciudad de Lucena
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.44 @ Betfair
Draw4.29 @ Pinnacle
Away8.80 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.18 @ Marathonbet
No1.62 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ciudad de Lucena = 2.39 (league 1.41), Chiclana = 0.54 (league 1.01)
| Chiclana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ciudad de Lucena | 0 | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.7% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.1% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.1% · Draw 14.8% · Away win 6.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1
