Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:00 •
Franz-Kremer-Stadion
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.55)
1.50 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.5% | 20.6% | 26.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Sportfreunde Lotte | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Köln II | 0 | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Köln II | Sportfreunde Lotte |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 62% |
| Defense | 15% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Köln II | Sportfreunde Lotte | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| Wins | 60% | 44% | 53% | 25% | 45% | 37% |
| Draws | 10% | 11% | 11% | 38% | 27% | 32% |
| Loses | 30% | 44% | 37% | 38% | 27% | 32% |
Form: Köln II: LWLLLWWWWDDLLWWLWWW • Sportfreunde Lotte: DWLLWWDDLLWLDDWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Köln II | Sportfreunde Lotte | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 15 | 36 | 12 | 15 | 27 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 16 | 21 | 37 | 14 | 18 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Köln II | Sportfreunde Lotte | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 79% | 79% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 58% | 47% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 32% | 16% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 16% | 0% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Köln II | Sportfreunde Lotte | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Köln II | Sportfreunde Lotte |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Köln II | Sportfreunde Lotte |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 5-0 | 3-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Köln II | Sportfreunde Lotte |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Köln II or draw and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Betfair
Away3.06 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.57 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Köln II = 2.16 (league 1.55), Sportfreunde Lotte = 1.50 (league 1.49)
| Sportfreunde Lotte | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Köln II | 0 | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.5% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 26.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1
