Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:00 •
Kingdom Arena
Expected Goals
2.88 (league 1.68)
0.40 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.2% | 9.5% | 3.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.6%
3 - 0
15.0%
1 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Najma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0 | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.6% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.0% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al Najma |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 20% |
| Attack | 94% | 25% |
| Defense | 69% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 16 | 3.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al Najma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 75% | 67% | 71% | 8% | 0% | 4% |
| Draws | 25% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 83% | 75% |
Form: Al-Hilal Saudi FC: WDDWWWWWWWWWWWWWDDDWWDDW • Al Najma: LLLLLLLLDLLDLLDDLDLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al Najma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 36 | 62 | 14 | 8 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 14 | 23 | 28 | 26 | 54 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al Najma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 96% | 63% | 67% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 79% | 25% | 21% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 8% | 4% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 0% | 0% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al Najma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al Najma |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al Najma |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 13 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-6 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-5 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Al Najma |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 79% | 21% |
| Att | 79% | 21% |
| Def | 76% | 24% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 78.2% | 21.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Al-Hilal Saudi FC and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.09 @ Betano
Draw15.55 @ Pinnacle
Away30.00 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.21 @ Betano
Under 2.54.80 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al-Hilal Saudi FC = 2.88 (league 1.68), Al Najma = 0.40 (league 1.41)
| Al Najma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0 | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.6% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.0% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.2% · Draw 9.5% · Away win 3.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1
