Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 01:06 •
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Expected Goals
3.34 (league 1.65)
1.16 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6% | 11.9% | 9.2% |
best score tips
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 1
7.2%
3 - 0
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Tijuana W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pachuca W | 0 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pachuca W | Tijuana W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 71% | 47% |
| Defense | 82% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pachuca W | Tijuana W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 67% | 79% | 72% | 31% | 29% | 30% |
| Draws | 20% | 14% | 17% | 31% | 14% | 22% |
| Loses | 13% | 7% | 10% | 38% | 57% | 48% |
Form: Pachuca W: WWDLWDWWWWWWDWWWWWLWWLWWDWWDW • Tijuana W: DLLDLLLLWDWLWLLWLLDWLWWLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Pachuca W | Tijuana W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 44 | 50 | 94 | 17 | 19 | 36 |
| GF avg | 2.9 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 17 | 13 | 30 | 22 | 27 | 49 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pachuca W | Tijuana W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 62% | 74% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 83% | 31% | 41% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 62% | 3% | 19% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 31% | 3% | 0% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 28% | 3% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pachuca W | Tijuana W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pachuca W | Tijuana W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pachuca W | Tijuana W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-9 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 1-0 | 1-6 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 7 | 9 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pachuca W | Tijuana W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 61% | 39% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Pachuca W or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.28 @ Bet365
Draw6.50 @ 188Bet
Away10.95 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.10 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pachuca W = 3.34 (league 1.65), Tijuana W = 1.16 (league 1.32)
| Tijuana W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pachuca W | 0 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.6% · Draw 11.9% · Away win 9.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1
