Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:00 •
Mandemakers Stadion
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.75)
2.08 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.3% | 21.1% | 46.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.6%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Jong AZ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Waalwijk | 0 | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Waalwijk | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 57% | 57% |
| Defense | 57% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Waalwijk | Jong AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 40% | 40% | 40% | 13% | 47% | 30% |
| Draws | 27% | 27% | 27% | 7% | 13% | 10% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
Form: Waalwijk: WDLWLDWLWDLWWDLDWLLLWDWDWLLDWW • Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWLLLWLWLWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Waalwijk | Jong AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 26 | 50 | 21 | 30 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 23 | 21 | 44 | 33 | 27 | 60 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Waalwijk | Jong AZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 80% | 73% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 53% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 13% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 3% | 10% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Waalwijk | Jong AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Waalwijk | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Waalwijk | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Waalwijk | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Waalwijk or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.86 @ 188Bet
Draw4.23 @ Pinnacle
Away3.64 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.45 @ Pinnacle
No2.84 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.88 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Waalwijk
vs
Jong AZ
Expected goals
1.65
Waalwijk xG
League Avg: 1.75
Total
3.73
2.08
Jong AZ xG
League Avg: 1.44
1x2 probabilities
Home
30.3%
Draw
21.1%
Away
46.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
8.6%
Tip
1 - 1
8.2%
Tip
2 - 2
7.1%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
69%
Chance
3.5+
49%
Chance
BTTS
81%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Waalwijk = 1.65 (league 1.75), Jong AZ = 2.08 (league 1.44)
| Jong AZ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Waalwijk | 0 | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 46.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1