Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.24)
0.42 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.8% | 15.9% | 5.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.6%
1 - 0
16.0%
3 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Fiorentina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Como | 0 | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.6% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.8% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Como | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 65% | 41% |
| Defense | 76% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Como | Fiorentina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 50% | 45% | 48% | 17% | 8% | 13% |
| Draws | 42% | 27% | 35% | 33% | 42% | 38% |
| Loses | 8% | 27% | 17% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Como: WLDWDDWDWDDWWLLWWWDLWWD • Fiorentina: DDLLDLLDLLDDLLLWLWDDWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Como | Fiorentina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 17 | 37 | 17 | 10 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Como | Fiorentina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 48% | 75% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 9% | 25% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 9% | 4% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Como | Fiorentina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Como | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Como | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-5 | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Como | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 68.7% | 31.3% |
Advice: Winner : Como
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw4.19 @ 1xBet
Away5.32 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.22 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.15 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Como
vs
Fiorentina
Expected goals
2.19
Como xG
League Avg: 1.24
Total
2.61
0.42
Fiorentina xG
League Avg: 1.13
1x2 probabilities
Home
75.8%
Draw
15.9%
Away
5.8%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
17.6%
Tip
1 - 0
16.0%
Tip
3 - 0
12.8%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Como = 2.19 (league 1.24), Fiorentina = 0.42 (league 1.13)
| Fiorentina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Como | 0 | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.6% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.8% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.8% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 5.8%
vtt 11 , vtd1