Serie A — Italy
Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 19:45 • Stadio Olimpico
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.23) 1.38 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.7% 25.6% 37.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
8.9%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sassuolo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 6.5% 8.9% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.8% 12.1% 8.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.3% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLazioSassuolo
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack33%67%
Defense47%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lazio Sassuolo
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%21%30%43%38%41%
Draws31%43%37%14%23%19%
Loses31%36%33%43%38%41%

Form: Lazio: LWLLWDDWDWLWLDWDDLDWLDWDLDL • Sassuolo: LLWLWWDLWLWDLWDLDDLLLWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Lazio Sassuolo
HATHAT
GF total18826171734
GF avg1.40.61.01.21.31.3
GA total161127201636
GA avg1.20.81.01.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLazioSassuolo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%56%67%78%
1.530%37%41%37%
2.515%7%19%11%
3.54%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLazioSassuolo
HATHAT
Clean sheets5712336
Failed to score5914549

Penalties

MetricLazioSassuolo
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricLazioSassuolo
Wins12
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-32-00-52-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against3253

Model comparison

MetricLazioSassuolo
Form29%71%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h71%29%
Goals78%22%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Lazio or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.36 @ 1xBet
Away3.63 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.73 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lazio = 1.37 (league 1.23), Sassuolo = 1.38 (league 1.13)

Sassuolo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio 0 6.5% 8.9% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.8% 12.1% 8.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.3% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.7% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 37.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1