Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 19:45 •
Stadio Olimpico
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.24)
1.38 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.3% | 25.6% | 37.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Sassuolo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lazio | 0 | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lazio | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 20% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lazio | Sassuolo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 38% | 21% | 30% | 43% | 38% | 41% |
| Draws | 31% | 43% | 37% | 14% | 23% | 19% |
| Loses | 31% | 36% | 33% | 43% | 38% | 41% |
Form: Lazio: LWLLWDDWDWLWLDWDDLDWLDWDLDL • Sassuolo: LLWLWWDLWLWDLWDLDDLLLWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Lazio | Sassuolo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 8 | 26 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 16 | 11 | 27 | 20 | 16 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lazio | Sassuolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 48% | 56% | 67% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 37% | 41% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 7% | 19% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lazio | Sassuolo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lazio | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lazio | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lazio | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Lazio or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.38 @ 1xBet
Draw3.28 @ 1xBet
Away3.46 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.22 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.77 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Lazio
vs
Sassuolo
Expected goals
1.35
Lazio xG
League Avg: 1.24
Total
2.73
1.38
Sassuolo xG
League Avg: 1.13
1x2 probabilities
Home
36.3%
Draw
25.6%
Away
37.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.1%
Tip
0 - 1
9.0%
Tip
1 - 0
8.8%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
61%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Lazio = 1.35 (league 1.24), Sassuolo = 1.38 (league 1.13)
| Sassuolo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lazio | 0 | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 37.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1