Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 17:30 • Stamford Bridge
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.54) 1.04 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.8% 27.2% 28.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
12.3%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 9.1% 9.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.3% 12.8% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.7% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelseaAston Villa
Played55
Form40%100%
Attack43%86%
Defense57%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea Aston Villa
HATHAT
Played89178816
Wins50%44%47%75%50%63%
Draws25%33%29%13%25%19%
Loses25%22%24%13%25%19%

Form: Chelsea: DWWDLLWWLWWWDLDWD • Aston Villa: DLLDDWWWWLWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Chelsea Aston Villa
HATHAT
GF total121729131225
GF avg1.51.91.71.61.51.6
GA total7101761117
GA avg0.91.11.00.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelseaAston Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%53%69%69%
1.553%35%50%25%
2.518%12%25%13%
3.56%0%13%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelseaAston Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets448415
Failed to score112235

Penalties

MetricChelseaAston Villa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricChelseaAston Villa
Wins34
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-54-03-4
Biggest losses1-33-10-32-0
Goals For3544
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricChelseaAston Villa
Form29%71%
Att33%67%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h62%38%
Goals64%36%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : Chelsea or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ 1xBet
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away4.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet
No2.25 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea = 1.36 (league 1.54), Aston Villa = 1.04 (league 1.30)

Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 9.1% 9.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.3% 12.8% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.7% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.8% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 28.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1