Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 17:30 •
Stamford Bridge
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.51)
1.05 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.3% | 26.9% | 28.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.1%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Aston Villa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelsea | 0 | 8.7% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chelsea | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 100% |
| Attack | 46% | 92% |
| Defense | 54% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chelsea | Aston Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 50% | 44% | 47% | 78% | 50% | 65% |
| Draws | 25% | 33% | 29% | 11% | 25% | 18% |
| Loses | 25% | 22% | 24% | 11% | 25% | 18% |
Form: Chelsea: DWWDLLWWLWWWDLDWD • Aston Villa: DLLDDWWWWLWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Chelsea | Aston Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chelsea | Aston Villa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 53% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 35% | 53% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 12% | 24% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chelsea | Aston Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chelsea | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chelsea | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-5 | 4-0 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chelsea | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 49.5% | 50.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Chelsea or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.84 @ 1xBet
Draw4.05 @ Betano
Away4.62 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.83 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.13 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Chelsea
vs
Aston Villa
Expected goals
1.39
Chelsea xG
League Avg: 1.51
Total
2.44
1.05
Aston Villa xG
League Avg: 1.29
1x2 probabilities
Home
44.3%
Draw
26.9%
Away
28.4%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.7%
Tip
1 - 0
12.1%
Tip
0 - 1
9.2%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Chelsea = 1.39 (league 1.51), Aston Villa = 1.05 (league 1.29)
| Aston Villa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelsea | 0 | 8.7% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 28.4%
vtt 76 , vtd1