Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:30 • Hill Dickinson Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.53) 1.29 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.9% 23.6% 28.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Burnley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Everton 0 4.9% 6.3% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 8.5% 10.9% 7.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.3% 9.4% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEvertonBurnley
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack54%54%
Defense46%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Everton Burnley
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins29%50%39%14%14%14%
Draws29%21%25%29%21%25%
Loses43%29%36%57%64%61%

Form: Everton: LWWDLDWLLDWWLWWLLDWLDWDDWLLW • Burnley: LWLLDLLWWLLLLLLLDDLLDDDLLWDL

League goals

Metric Everton Burnley
HATHAT
GF total161632151732
GF avg1.11.11.11.11.21.1
GA total191433233356
GA avg1.41.01.21.62.42.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEvertonBurnley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%68%68%89%
1.532%32%36%68%
2.511%11%11%32%
3.50%7%0%7%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEvertonBurnley
HATHAT
Clean sheets459303
Failed to score448639

Penalties

MetricEvertonBurnley
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricEvertonBurnley
Wins22
Draws23
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-02-3
Biggest losses1-42-01-35-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against4245

Model comparison

MetricEvertonBurnley
Form64%36%
Att50%50%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h71%29%
Goals73%27%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Everton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ 1xBet
Draw3.98 @ 1xBet
Away6.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Everton = 1.73 (league 1.53), Burnley = 1.29 (league 1.30)

Burnley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Everton 0 4.9% 6.3% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 8.5% 10.9% 7.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.3% 9.4% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.9% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 28.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1