Everton vs Burnley

Premier League — England

Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:30 • Hill Dickinson Stadium

Match Finished

Everton

2 - 0

Burnley

Expected Goals

1.75 (league 1.51) 1.31 (league 1.29)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
46.9%	23.4%	28.5%

best score tips

1 - 1

10.8%

2 - 1

9.4%

1 - 0

8.2%

Score & goals probability table

		Burnley
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Everton	0	4.7%	6.2%	4.0%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%
	1	8.2%	10.8%	7.0%	3.1%	1.0%	0.3%
	2	7.2%	9.4%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
	3	4.2%	5.5%	3.6%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	1.8%	2.4%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
	5	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Everton	Burnley
Played	5	5
Form	47%	27%
Attack	54%	54%
Defense	46%	8%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	7 \| 1.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	12 \| 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%

FT probability

2.5+

58%

FT probability

3.5+

41%

FT probability

BTTS

73%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Everton			Burnley
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	14	28	14	14	28
Wins	29%	50%	39%	14%	14%	14%
Draws	29%	21%	25%	29%	21%	25%
Loses	43%	29%	36%	57%	64%	61%

Form: Everton: LWWDLDWLLDWWLWWLLDWLDWDDWLLW • Burnley: LWLLDLLWWLLLLLLLDDLLDDDLLWDL

League goals

Metric	Everton			Burnley
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	16	16	32	15	17	32
GF avg	1.1	1.1	1.1	1.1	1.2	1.1
GA total	19	14	33	23	33	56
GA avg	1.4	1.0	1.2	1.6	2.4	2.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Everton		Burnley
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	71%	68%	68%	89%
1.5	32%	32%	36%	68%
2.5	11%	11%	11%	32%
3.5	0%	7%	0%	7%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Everton			Burnley
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	5	9	3	0	3
Failed to score	4	4	8	6	3	9

Penalties

Metric	Everton	Burnley
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	2

Streaks

Metric	Everton	Burnley
Wins	2	2
Draws	2	3
Losses	2	7

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	0-2	2-0	2-3
Biggest losses	1-4	2-0	1-3	5-1
Goals For	3	3	3	3
Goals Against	4	2	4	5

Model comparison

Metric	Everton	Burnley
Form	64%	36%
Att	50%	50%
Def	63%	37%
Poisson Distribution	57%	43%
H2h	71%	29%
Goals	73%	27%
Total	63.0%	37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Everton or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ 1xBet

Draw3.98 @ 1xBet

Away6.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.93 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Pinnacle

No1.88 @ 188Bet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Everton vs Burnley

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Everton

Burnley

Premier League • England • Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:30 • Hill Dickinson Stadium

Expected goals

1.75

Everton xG League Avg: 1.51

Total

3.05

1.31

Burnley xG League Avg: 1.29

1x2 probabilities

Home

46.9%

Draw

23.4%

Away

28.5%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

10.8%

Tip

2 - 1

9.4%

Tip

1 - 0

8.2%

More chances

1.5+

82%

Chance

2.5+

58%

Chance

3.5+

41%

Chance

BTTS

73%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 3

Exp.

#Everton #Burnley #PremierLeague #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Everton = 1.75 (league 1.51), Burnley = 1.31 (league 1.29)

		Burnley
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Everton	0	4.7%	6.2%	4.0%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%
	1	8.2%	10.8%	7.0%	3.1%	1.0%	0.3%
	2	7.2%	9.4%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%
	3	4.2%	5.5%	3.6%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	1.8%	2.4%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
	5	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.9% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 28.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Everton	Burnley
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	2