Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Villa Park
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.51)
0.42 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.6% | 29.2% | 12.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.3%
0 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Sunderland | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa | 0 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.3% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aston Villa | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 42% | 42% |
| Defense | 17% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aston Villa | Sunderland | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 63% | 38% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Draws | 13% | 31% | 22% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
| Loses | 25% | 31% | 28% | 19% | 44% | 31% |
Form: Aston Villa: DLLDDWWWWLWWWWWWWWLWDLWLDWDLLLWD • Sunderland: WLWDDWLWWDDLWDLWDDDDLWLWLLLDWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Aston Villa | Sunderland | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 20 | 43 | 23 | 10 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 15 | 23 | 38 | 14 | 22 | 36 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aston Villa | Sunderland | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 72% | 66% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 25% | 28% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 16% | 9% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aston Villa | Sunderland | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aston Villa | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aston Villa | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aston Villa | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 23% | 77% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Aston Villa or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.67 @ 1xBet
Draw4.05 @ 188Bet
Away5.94 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.97 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Aston Villa
vs
Sunderland
Expected goals
1.30
Aston Villa xG
League Avg: 1.51
Total
1.72
0.42
Sunderland xG
League Avg: 1.29
1x2 probabilities
Home
58.6%
Draw
29.2%
Away
12.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
23.3%
Tip
0 - 0
18.0%
Tip
2 - 0
15.1%
More chances
1.5+
64%
Chance
2.5+
45%
Chance
3.5+
32%
Chance
BTTS
63%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa = 1.30 (league 1.51), Sunderland = 0.42 (league 1.29)
| Sunderland | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa | 0 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.3% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 12.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1