Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
City Ground
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.51)
1.11 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.9% | 26.3% | 29.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Burnley | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nottingham Forest | 0 | 7.9% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 7% |
| Attack | 64% | 36% |
| Defense | 55% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | Burnley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 19% | 31% | 25% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Draws | 38% | 19% | 28% | 31% | 19% | 25% |
| Loses | 44% | 50% | 47% | 56% | 69% | 63% |
Form: Nottingham Forest: WDLLDLLLLDWWLWLWLLLLWDWDLDLLDDWD • Burnley: LWLLDLLWWLLLLLLLDDLLDDDLLWDLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | Burnley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 18 | 32 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 20 | 24 | 44 | 25 | 38 | 63 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nottingham Forest | Burnley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 75% | 63% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 44% | 31% | 69% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 19% | 9% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | Burnley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 9 | 5 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 62.3% | 37.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Nottingham Forest or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.58 @ 1xBet
Draw4.35 @ Unibet
Away6.55 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.81 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.16 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.90 @ Betfair
No1.98 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Nottingham Forest
vs
Burnley
Expected goals
1.43
Nottingham Forest xG
League Avg: 1.51
Total
2.54
1.11
Burnley xG
League Avg: 1.29
1x2 probabilities
Home
43.9%
Draw
26.3%
Away
29.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.5%
Tip
1 - 0
11.3%
Tip
2 - 1
8.9%
More chances
1.5+
79%
Chance
2.5+
56%
Chance
3.5+
40%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
Y - Cards
1 - 3 cards
🟨
Expected goals (λ): Nottingham Forest = 1.43 (league 1.51), Burnley = 1.11 (league 1.29)
| Burnley | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nottingham Forest | 0 | 7.9% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 29.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1