Ekstraklasa
— Poland
Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 18:15 •
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Józef
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.63)
0.61 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.3% | 32.4% | 20.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.9%
0 - 0
18.0%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Gornik Zabrze | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Legia Warszawa | 0 | 18.0% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.9% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Legia Warszawa | Gornik Zabrze |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 47% | 47% |
| Defense | 73% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Legia Warszawa | Gornik Zabrze | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 38% | 14% | 26% | 64% | 23% | 44% |
| Draws | 38% | 50% | 44% | 7% | 38% | 22% |
| Loses | 23% | 36% | 30% | 29% | 38% | 33% |
Form: Legia Warszawa: WDWLLWDDWLLDDLDDLLLDDWDWDDW • Gornik Zabrze: WWLLWWLWWDWDWWLDLLWLDLLDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Legia Warszawa | Gornik Zabrze | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 16 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 11 | 20 | 31 | 13 | 19 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Legia Warszawa | Gornik Zabrze | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 74% | 70% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 33% | 41% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 7% | 26% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Legia Warszawa | Gornik Zabrze | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Legia Warszawa | Gornik Zabrze |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Legia Warszawa | Gornik Zabrze |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Legia Warszawa | Gornik Zabrze |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Legia Warszawa or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 10Bet
Away3.88 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.13 @ SBO
Under 2.51.90 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.79 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Legia Warszawa = 1.10 (league 1.63), Gornik Zabrze = 0.61 (league 1.18)
| Gornik Zabrze | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Legia Warszawa | 0 | 18.0% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.9% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 20.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1
