Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 18:15 • Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Józef
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.63) 0.61 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.3% 32.4% 20.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.9%
0 - 0
18.0%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 18.0% 11.0% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 12.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.0% 6.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLegia WarszawaGornik Zabrze
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack47%47%
Defense73%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Legia Warszawa Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%14%26%64%23%44%
Draws38%50%44%7%38%22%
Loses23%36%30%29%38%33%

Form: Legia Warszawa: WDWLLWDDWLLDDLDDLLLDDWDWDDW • Gornik Zabrze: WWLLWWLWWDWDWWLDLLWLDLLDWDW

League goals

Metric Legia Warszawa Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
GF total161632271239
GF avg1.21.11.21.90.91.4
GA total112031131932
GA avg0.81.41.10.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLegia WarszawaGornik Zabrze
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%74%70%74%
1.530%33%41%22%
2.57%7%26%11%
3.54%0%4%7%
4.50%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLegia WarszawaGornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Clean sheets527257
Failed to score426448

Penalties

MetricLegia WarszawaGornik Zabrze
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricLegia WarszawaGornik Zabrze
Wins12
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-25-10-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-14-0
Goals For4253
Goals Against2325

Model comparison

MetricLegia WarszawaGornik Zabrze
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Legia Warszawa or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 10Bet
Away3.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ SBO
Under 2.51.90 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ 10Bet
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Legia Warszawa
vs
Gornik Zabrze
Ekstraklasa • Poland • Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 18:15 • Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Józef
Expected goals
1.10
Legia Warszawa xG League Avg: 1.63
Total
1.71
0.61
Gornik Zabrze xG League Avg: 1.18
1x2 probabilities
Home
47.3%
Draw
32.4%
Away
20.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
19.9%
Tip
0 - 0
18.0%
Tip
1 - 1
12.1%
More chances
1.5+
66%
Chance
2.5+
47%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
#LegiaWarszawa #GornikZabrze #Ekstraklasa #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Legia Warszawa = 1.10 (league 1.63), Gornik Zabrze = 0.61 (league 1.18)

Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 18.0% 11.0% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 12.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.0% 6.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 20.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1