Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:00 •
De Vijverberg
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.75)
1.99 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.9% | 21.6% | 46.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Cambuur | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| De Graafschap | 0 | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | De Graafschap | Cambuur |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 75% |
| Defense | 42% | 8% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | De Graafschap | Cambuur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 50% | 44% | 47% | 67% | 56% | 61% |
| Draws | 17% | 33% | 25% | 28% | 22% | 25% |
| Loses | 33% | 22% | 28% | 6% | 22% | 14% |
Form: De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWWWLWWWLWLLDDWWWDLWLWDWD • Cambuur: LWWWDWWWDWWDLWWDWDWWWWLWDWWWWDWLWLDD
League goals
| Metric | De Graafschap | Cambuur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 37 | 34 | 71 | 40 | 32 | 72 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 28 | 28 | 56 | 20 | 24 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | De Graafschap | Cambuur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 83% | 92% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 47% | 58% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 19% | 31% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 6% | 17% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | De Graafschap | Cambuur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | De Graafschap | Cambuur |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | De Graafschap | Cambuur |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-0 | 3-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | De Graafschap | Cambuur |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 61% | 39% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 35% | 65% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : De Graafschap or draw and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.35 @ 10Bet
Draw4.00 @ Betfair
Away2.85 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.10 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.36 @ William Hill
No3.10 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
De Graafschap
vs
Cambuur
Expected goals
1.56
De Graafschap xG
League Avg: 1.75
Total
3.56
1.99
Cambuur xG
League Avg: 1.44
1x2 probabilities
Home
29.9%
Draw
21.6%
Away
46.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
8.9%
Tip
1 - 2
8.9%
Tip
2 - 1
6.9%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
68%
Chance
3.5+
49%
Chance
BTTS
80%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): De Graafschap = 1.56 (league 1.75), Cambuur = 1.99 (league 1.44)
| Cambuur | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| De Graafschap | 0 | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.9% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 46.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1