Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 12:30 • Cegeka Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.46) 1.39 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.2% 27.6% 49.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.3%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Club Brugge KV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genk 0 11.0% 15.3% 10.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5%
1 9.0% 12.5% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.7% 5.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenkClub Brugge KV
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack42%83%
Defense33%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genk Club Brugge KV
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins33%30%32%78%50%63%
Draws33%40%37%11%10%11%
Loses33%30%32%11%40%26%

Form: Genk: LDLWWDLLWWDDWDLWLDD • Club Brugge KV: WLWWDLWDWWWWWLWLLWW

League goals

Metric Genk Club Brugge KV
HATHAT
GF total111324171431
GF avg1.21.31.31.91.41.6
GA total11152691019
GA avg1.21.51.41.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenkClub Brugge KV
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%95%84%63%
1.537%37%47%16%
2.55%5%11%11%
3.50%0%11%5%
4.50%0%11%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenkClub Brugge KV
HATHAT
Clean sheets011437
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricGenkClub Brugge KV
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGenkClub Brugge KV
Wins25
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-22-01-5
Biggest losses1-23-00-13-2
Goals For3255
Goals Against2353

Model comparison

MetricGenkClub Brugge KV
Form36%64%
Att33%67%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h7%93%
Goals27%73%
Total30.3%69.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Club Brugge KV

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Unibet
Away2.25 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ SBO
Under 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genk = 0.82 (league 1.46), Club Brugge KV = 1.39 (league 1.21)

Club Brugge KV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genk 0 11.0% 15.3% 10.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5%
1 9.0% 12.5% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.7% 5.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.2% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 49.9%

vtt 20 , vtd1