Premiership
— Scotland
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 •
Home of the Set Fare Arena
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.58)
1.56 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.2% | 23.0% | 34.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| ST Mirren | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Livingston | 0 | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Livingston | ST Mirren |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 27% |
| Attack | 46% | 31% |
| Defense | 23% | 15% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Livingston | ST Mirren | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 7% | 0% | 4% | 29% | 8% | 19% |
| Draws | 36% | 36% | 36% | 36% | 23% | 30% |
| Loses | 57% | 64% | 61% | 36% | 69% | 52% |
Form: Livingston: DWLLDLLDLLDDLLLDLLLLDDLLLLDD • ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLDLLLDWWDLLLLDDWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Livingston | ST Mirren | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 12 | 30 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 27 | 31 | 58 | 15 | 27 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Livingston | ST Mirren | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 96% | 52% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 68% | 19% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 25% | 7% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Livingston | ST Mirren | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Livingston | ST Mirren |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Livingston | ST Mirren |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 6-2 | 0-5 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Livingston | ST Mirren |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 52% | 48% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or ST Mirren
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.40 @ Betfair
Draw3.58 @ Pinnacle
Away2.18 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Livingston
vs
ST Mirren
Expected goals
1.73
Livingston xG
League Avg: 1.58
Total
3.29
1.56
ST Mirren xG
League Avg: 1.22
1x2 probabilities
Home
41.2%
Draw
23.0%
Away
34.4%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.0%
Tip
2 - 1
8.7%
Tip
1 - 2
7.8%
More chances
1.5+
85%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Livingston = 1.73 (league 1.58), ST Mirren = 1.56 (league 1.22)
| ST Mirren | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Livingston | 0 | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.2% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 34.4%
vtt 4 , vtd1