Crewe vs Newport County

League Two — England

Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 19:45 • Alexandra Stadium

Match Finished

Crewe

2 - 2

Newport County

Expected Goals

2.02 (league 1.35) 1.22 (league 1.14)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
54.1%	21.4%	22.6%

best score tips

2 - 1

9.7%

1 - 1

9.6%

2 - 0

8.0%

Score & goals probability table

		Newport County
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Crewe	0	3.9%	4.8%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	7.9%	9.6%	5.9%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
	2	8.0%	9.7%	6.0%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
	3	5.4%	6.6%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	2.7%	3.3%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
	5	1.1%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Crewe	Newport County
Played	5	5
Form	53%	27%
Attack	83%	58%
Defense	33%	17%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	7 \| 1.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	10 \| 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%

FT probability

2.5+

57%

FT probability

3.5+

40%

FT probability

BTTS

72%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Crewe			Newport County
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	9	9	18	9	9	18
Wins	56%	33%	44%	0%	33%	17%
Draws	11%	22%	17%	22%	11%	17%
Loses	33%	44%	39%	78%	56%	67%

Form: Crewe: WWWWLLDLLWWLLWWDDL • Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLLLD

League goals

Metric	Crewe			Newport County
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	15	12	27	9	9	18
GF avg	1.7	1.3	1.5	1.0	1.0	1.0
GA total	13	11	24	19	14	33
GA avg	1.4	1.2	1.3	2.1	1.6	1.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Crewe		Newport County
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	72%	83%	67%	89%
1.5	44%	33%	28%	56%
2.5	28%	17%	6%	28%
3.5	6%	0%	0%	11%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Crewe			Newport County
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	1	3	0	2	2
Failed to score	2	3	5	3	3	6

Penalties

Metric	Crewe	Newport County
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	0

Streaks

Metric	Crewe	Newport County
Wins	4	1
Draws	2	1
Losses	2	5

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-1	1-4	—	0-3
Biggest losses	0-3	3-1	2-4	4-1
Goals For	3	4	2	3
Goals Against	3	3	4	4

Model comparison

Metric	Crewe	Newport County
Form	67%	33%
Att	59%	41%
Def	56%	44%
Poisson Distribution	60%	40%
H2h	38%	62%
Goals	44%	56%
Total	54.0%	46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Crewe or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Betfair

Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle

Away5.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ 188Bet

Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Unibet

No2.07 @ Pinnacle

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Crewe vs Newport County

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Crewe

Newport County

League Two • England • Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 19:45 • Alexandra Stadium

Expected goals

2.02

Crewe xG League Avg: 1.35

Total

3.25

1.22

Newport County xG League Avg: 1.14

1x2 probabilities

Home

54.1%

Draw

21.4%

Away

22.6%

Best score tips

Tip

2 - 1

9.7%

Tip

1 - 1

9.6%

Tip

2 - 0

8.0%

More chances

1.5+

81%

Chance

2.5+

57%

Chance

3.5+

40%

Chance

BTTS

72%

Chance

🟨 Cards

1 - 3

Exp.

#Crewe #NewportCounty #LeagueTwo #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Crewe = 2.02 (league 1.35), Newport County = 1.22 (league 1.14)

		Newport County
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Crewe	0	3.9%	4.8%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	7.9%	9.6%	5.9%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
	2	8.0%	9.7%	6.0%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
	3	5.4%	6.6%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	2.7%	3.3%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
	5	1.1%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 22.6%

vtt 9 , vtd1

Metric	Crewe	Newport County
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	0