League Two — England
Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 19:45 • Alexandra Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.40) 1.20 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.1% 22.0% 23.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crewe 0 4.3% 5.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.4% 10.1% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.8% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.3% 6.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCreweNewport County
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack83%58%
Defense33%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crewe Newport County
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%33%44%0%33%17%
Draws11%22%17%22%11%17%
Loses33%44%39%78%56%67%

Form: Crewe: WWWWLLDLLWWLLWWDDL • Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLWLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Crewe Newport County
HATHAT
GF total1512279918
GF avg1.71.31.51.01.01.0
GA total131124191433
GA avg1.41.21.32.11.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCreweNewport County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%83%67%89%
1.544%33%28%56%
2.528%17%6%28%
3.56%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCreweNewport County
HATHAT
Clean sheets213022
Failed to score235336

Penalties

MetricCreweNewport County
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricCreweNewport County
Wins41
Draws21
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-4—0-3
Biggest losses0-33-12-44-1
Goals For3423
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricCreweNewport County
Form67%33%
Att59%41%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Crewe or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Betfair
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Unibet
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crewe = 1.94 (league 1.40), Newport County = 1.20 (league 1.17)

Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crewe 0 4.3% 5.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.4% 10.1% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.8% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.3% 6.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 23.2%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1