League Two — England
Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 • The Croud Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.36) 1.25 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.1% 29.3% 46.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.9%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Notts County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 12.7% 15.9% 9.9% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.3% 12.9% 8.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 4.2% 5.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShrewsburyNotts County
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack50%80%
Defense50%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shrewsbury Notts County
HATHAT
Played161531161531
Wins38%7%23%63%47%55%
Draws31%20%26%19%27%23%
Loses31%73%52%19%27%23%

Form: Shrewsbury: DLLLLDWLLLDWWDLWLDDDLLLLWLLDLWW • Notts County: DLLWDWWLWLWWDWWDLWWWDLDLWWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Shrewsbury Notts County
HATHAT
GF total161228281947
GF avg1.00.80.91.81.31.5
GA total173451151631
GA avg1.12.31.60.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShrewsburyNotts County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%74%87%71%
1.519%48%45%26%
2.510%29%13%3%
3.50%10%6%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShrewsburyNotts County
HATHAT
Clean sheets718639
Failed to score6612224

Penalties

MetricShrewsburyNotts County
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricShrewsburyNotts County
Wins26
Draws31
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-00-2
Biggest losses0-35-11-32-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricShrewsburyNotts County
Form35%65%
Att38%62%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h62%38%
Goals48%52%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Notts County

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ 10Bet
Draw3.27 @ Pinnacle
Away2.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shrewsbury = 0.81 (league 1.36), Notts County = 1.25 (league 1.15)

Notts County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 12.7% 15.9% 9.9% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.3% 12.9% 8.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 4.2% 5.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.1% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 46.3%

vtt 2 , vtd1