League Two
— England
Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 •
The Croud Meadow
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.35)
1.25 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.3% | 29.3% | 46.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.8%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Notts County | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shrewsbury | 0 | 12.6% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Notts County |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 87% |
| Attack | 50% | 80% |
| Defense | 50% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Notts County | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 15 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 38% | 7% | 23% | 63% | 47% | 55% |
| Draws | 31% | 20% | 26% | 19% | 27% | 23% |
| Loses | 31% | 73% | 52% | 19% | 27% | 23% |
Form: Shrewsbury: DLLLLDWLLLDWWDLWLDDDLLLLWLLDLWW • Notts County: DLLWDWWLWLWWDWWDLWWWDLDLWWWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Notts County | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 28 | 19 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 17 | 34 | 51 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Shrewsbury | Notts County | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 74% | 87% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 48% | 45% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 29% | 13% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Notts County | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Notts County |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Notts County |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Shrewsbury | Notts County |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 48% | 52% |
| Total | 44.7% | 55.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Notts County
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.20 @ 10Bet
Draw3.27 @ Pinnacle
Away2.35 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Shrewsbury = 0.82 (league 1.35), Notts County = 1.25 (league 1.14)
| Notts County | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shrewsbury | 0 | 12.6% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.3% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 46.2%
vtt 2 , vtd1
