Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Vicarage Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.38) 0.98 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 27.5% 27.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 9.7% 9.5% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.1% 12.9% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWatfordStoke City
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack44%33%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Watford Stoke City
HATHAT
Played111021101121
Wins55%10%33%60%36%48%
Draws36%40%38%10%18%14%
Loses9%50%29%30%45%38%

Form: Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDLWDD • Stoke City: WWWLWLDDDWLWWWLLWLLLW

League goals

Metric Watford Stoke City
HATHAT
GF total191130171128
GF avg1.71.11.41.71.01.3
GA total12162881220
GA avg1.11.61.30.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWatfordStoke City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%95%67%67%
1.548%33%33%19%
2.514%5%24%5%
3.50%0%5%5%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWatfordStoke City
HATHAT
Clean sheets101347
Failed to score134257

Penalties

MetricWatfordStoke City
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricWatfordStoke City
Wins13
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-35-10-3
Biggest losses0-13-11-24-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricWatfordStoke City
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h62%38%
Goals75%25%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Watford or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away3.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ SBO
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Watford = 1.35 (league 1.38), Stoke City = 0.98 (league 1.12)

Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 9.7% 9.5% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.1% 12.9% 6.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 27.2%

vtt 18 , vtd1