Championship
— England
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 •
Vicarage Road
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.36)
0.96 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.1% | 27.3% | 26.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Stoke City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Watford | 0 | 9.6% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Watford | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 44% | 33% |
| Defense | 56% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Watford | Stoke City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 55% | 10% | 33% | 60% | 36% | 48% |
| Draws | 36% | 40% | 38% | 10% | 18% | 14% |
| Loses | 9% | 50% | 29% | 30% | 45% | 38% |
Form: Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDLWDD • Stoke City: WWWLWLDDDWLWWWLLWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Watford | Stoke City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 11 | 30 | 17 | 11 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 16 | 28 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Watford | Stoke City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 95% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 33% | 33% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 5% | 24% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Watford | Stoke City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Watford | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Watford | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Watford | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Watford or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.19 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away3.56 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.14 @ SBO
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Watford
vs
Stoke City
Expected goals
1.38
Watford xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
2.34
0.96
Stoke City xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
46.1%
Draw
27.3%
Away
26.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
13.3%
Tip
1 - 1
12.8%
Tip
0 - 0
9.6%
More chances
1.5+
71%
Chance
2.5+
50%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Watford = 1.37 (league 1.36), Stoke City = 0.97 (league 1.14)
| Stoke City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Watford | 0 | 9.6% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.0% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 26.4%
vtt 18 , vtd1