Championship
— England
Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 19:45 •
The Valley
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.36)
1.32 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.9% | 27.5% | 42.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Derby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Charlton | 0 | 9.3% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Charlton | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 71% | 71% |
| Defense | 14% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Charlton | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 50% | 14% | 31% | 29% | 46% | 37% |
| Draws | 25% | 36% | 31% | 36% | 23% | 30% |
| Loses | 25% | 50% | 38% | 36% | 31% | 33% |
Form: Charlton: WDLLDWWDLWWDDWLLLLLDWLLDDW • Derby: LLDDWLDDDLWWWWWLWLLDWDDLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Charlton | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 12 | 26 | 17 | 19 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 20 | 32 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Charlton | Derby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 69% | 93% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 31% | 30% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 15% | 11% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Charlton | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Charlton | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Charlton | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-0 | 3-5 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Charlton | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 45.7% | 54.3% |
Advice: No predictions available
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Betano
Away2.83 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.60 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.62 @ 888Sport
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.05 @ Unibet
No1.87 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Charlton
vs
Derby
Expected goals
1.06
Charlton xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
2.37
1.32
Derby xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
29.9%
Draw
27.5%
Away
42.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
13.0%
Tip
0 - 1
12.3%
Tip
1 - 0
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Charlton = 1.06 (league 1.36), Derby = 1.32 (league 1.14)
| Derby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Charlton | 0 | 9.3% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.9% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 42.3%
vtt 8 , vtd1