Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 19:45 • The Valley
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.36) 1.31 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.0% 27.6% 42.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charlton 0 9.4% 12.3% 8.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.9% 13.0% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.2% 6.9% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCharltonDerby
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack71%71%
Defense14%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Charlton Derby
HATHAT
Played121426141327
Wins50%14%31%29%46%37%
Draws25%36%31%36%23%30%
Loses25%50%38%36%31%33%

Form: Charlton: WDLLDWWDLWWDDWLLLLLDWLLDDW • Derby: LLDDWLDDDLWWWWWLWLLDWDDLWLW

League goals

Metric Charlton Derby
HATHAT
GF total141226171936
GF avg1.20.91.01.21.51.3
GA total122032201535
GA avg1.01.41.21.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCharltonDerby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%69%93%78%
1.515%31%30%30%
2.58%15%11%15%
3.50%4%0%4%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCharltonDerby
HATHAT
Clean sheets538336
Failed to score156112

Penalties

MetricCharltonDerby
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricCharltonDerby
Wins25
Draws23
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-10-3
Biggest losses1-53-03-53-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against5353

Model comparison

MetricCharltonDerby
Form42%58%
Att50%50%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Betano
Away2.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.62 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Unibet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Charlton = 1.06 (league 1.36), Derby = 1.31 (league 1.15)

Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charlton 0 9.4% 12.3% 8.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.9% 13.0% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.2% 6.9% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.0% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 42.1%

vtt 8 , vtd1