Championship
— England
Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 •
Riverside Stadium
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.36)
0.86 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.2% | 19.6% | 14.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.4%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Leicester | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Middlesbrough | 0 | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 7% |
| Attack | 44% | 39% |
| Defense | 78% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Leicester | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| Wins | 63% | 47% | 55% | 38% | 24% | 30% |
| Draws | 25% | 24% | 24% | 25% | 29% | 27% |
| Loses | 13% | 29% | 21% | 38% | 47% | 42% |
Form: Middlesbrough: WWWWDWDDLWWDLDWDLWWWWLDLLWWWWWWLD • Leicester: WLWWDDDDWDLLLDWWLLWDWLLWLWLDLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Leicester | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 25 | 50 | 23 | 23 | 46 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 11 | 22 | 33 | 23 | 30 | 53 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Middlesbrough | Leicester | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 70% | 85% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 18% | 42% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 9% | 12% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Leicester | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 91% | 9% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 71.0% | 29.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Middlesbrough or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.55 @ Betano
Draw4.55 @ Pinnacle
Away6.50 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.23 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Middlesbrough = 2.12 (league 1.36), Leicester = 0.86 (league 1.14)
| Leicester | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Middlesbrough | 0 | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.2% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 14.1%
vtt 9 , vtd1
