Championship
— England
Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 19:45 •
St. Mary's Stadium
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.36)
1.12 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.9% | 27.2% | 31.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
11.5%
0 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Norwich | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southampton | 0 | 8.7% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Southampton | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 80% |
| Attack | 86% | 64% |
| Defense | 71% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Southampton | Norwich | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 20 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| Wins | 47% | 35% | 41% | 42% | 39% | 41% |
| Draws | 35% | 30% | 32% | 5% | 28% | 16% |
| Loses | 18% | 35% | 27% | 53% | 33% | 43% |
Form: Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWLDLDDLLWDWWWDWWDW • Norwich: LWLWDLDLLLLLLDLLDWLDWDWLWLWWWLWWLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Southampton | Norwich | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 34 | 60 | 23 | 28 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 14 | 34 | 48 | 23 | 22 | 45 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Southampton | Norwich | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 78% | 81% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 35% | 43% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 14% | 8% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Southampton | Norwich | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Southampton | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Southampton | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-5 | 3-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Southampton | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 61% | 39% |
| Total | 54.5% | 45.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Southampton or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.95 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away4.04 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ SBO
Under 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Pinnacle
No2.28 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Southampton = 1.32 (league 1.36), Norwich = 1.12 (league 1.14)
| Norwich | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southampton | 0 | 8.7% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 31.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1
