Championship
— England
Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 19:45 •
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.36)
0.87 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1% | 19.5% | 14.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.3%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| QPR | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Birmingham | 0 | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.3% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Birmingham | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 21% | 29% |
| Defense | 43% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Birmingham | QPR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 19 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 47% | 26% | 36% | 44% | 28% | 36% |
| Draws | 41% | 16% | 28% | 11% | 33% | 22% |
| Loses | 12% | 58% | 36% | 44% | 39% | 42% |
Form: Birmingham: DWWLLWLDDLWLWWLWDWLLDLDDLWDWDWWDWLLL • QPR: DLLWWWDDWLWLLLDWWLWWLWDLLWDDLWDLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Birmingham | QPR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 15 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 46 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 18 | 29 | 47 | 30 | 28 | 58 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Birmingham | QPR | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 78% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 31% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 19% | 19% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 3% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Birmingham | QPR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Birmingham | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Birmingham | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Birmingham | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Birmingham or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ Betano
Away5.42 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Birmingham
vs
QPR
Expected goals
2.12
Birmingham xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
2.99
0.87
QPR xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
64.1%
Draw
19.5%
Away
14.2%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
11.3%
Tip
1 - 0
10.7%
Tip
2 - 1
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
78%
Chance
2.5+
55%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Birmingham = 2.12 (league 1.36), QPR = 0.87 (league 1.14)
| QPR | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Birmingham | 0 | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.3% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 14.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1