Championship
— England
Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 •
The Den
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.36)
1.68 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.4% | 23.8% | 44.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Derby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Millwall | 0 | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Millwall | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 60% |
| Attack | 85% | 69% |
| Defense | 62% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Millwall | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| Wins | 56% | 50% | 53% | 37% | 47% | 42% |
| Draws | 17% | 28% | 22% | 32% | 18% | 25% |
| Loses | 28% | 22% | 25% | 32% | 35% | 33% |
Form: Millwall: WLWLDWDLWWWWDLDLWWWDLLDWDWWLWDWWLWWW • Derby: LLDDWLDDDLWWWWWLWLLDWDDLWLWWDWLWLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Millwall | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 24 | 50 | 26 | 28 | 54 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 21 | 20 | 41 | 25 | 22 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Millwall | Derby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 61% | 92% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 31% | 39% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 17% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 6% | 3% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Millwall | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Millwall | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Millwall | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 3-5 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Millwall | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 59.2% | 40.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Millwall or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.10 @ Betano
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away3.75 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.01 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.77 @ Unibet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Millwall
vs
Derby
Expected goals
1.34
Millwall xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
3.02
1.68
Derby xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
30.4%
Draw
23.8%
Away
44.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.0%
Tip
1 - 2
9.2%
Tip
0 - 1
8.2%
More chances
1.5+
77%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Millwall = 1.34 (league 1.36), Derby = 1.68 (league 1.14)
| Derby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Millwall | 0 | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.4% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 44.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1