League One — England
Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Home Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.47) 1.50 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.6% 26.0% 48.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Reading
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 8.4% 12.5% 9.4% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.2% 12.3% 9.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.0% 6.0% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPlymouthReading
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack50%57%
Defense64%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Plymouth Reading
HATHAT
Played10112111920
Wins30%45%38%45%11%30%
Draws10%0%5%27%44%35%
Loses60%55%57%27%44%35%

Form: Plymouth: LLLLWLWWLWDLLLLWLLWWW • Reading: LLLDDWLWDDDLWDWDWLLW

League goals

Metric Plymouth Reading
HATHAT
GF total91726131124
GF avg0.91.51.21.21.21.2
GA total141933121426
GA avg1.41.71.61.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePlymouthReading
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%76%85%80%
1.524%52%25%45%
2.519%24%10%5%
3.514%5%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPlymouthReading
HATHAT
Clean sheets235314
Failed to score448123

Penalties

MetricPlymouthReading
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricPlymouthReading
Wins21
Draws13
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-53-20-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-22-0
Goals For4533
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricPlymouthReading
Form56%44%
Att47%53%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Reading

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Plymouth = 0.98 (league 1.47), Reading = 1.50 (league 1.12)

Reading
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 8.4% 12.5% 9.4% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.2% 12.3% 9.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.0% 6.0% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 48.9%

vtt 37 , vtd1