League One — England
Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 19:45 • The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.44) 0.31 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.5% 40.6% 12.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.9%
1 - 0
26.7%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Wimbledon 0 31.9% 9.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.7% 8.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.1% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC WimbledonExeter City
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack29%36%
Defense50%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Wimbledon Exeter City
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins40%36%38%50%18%33%
Draws30%9%19%20%0%10%
Loses30%55%43%30%82%57%

Form: AFC Wimbledon: LWWLWLLWWWWDWLLLDLDLD • Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDLWDLLWLWL

League goals

Metric AFC Wimbledon Exeter City
HATHAT
GF total10142416521
GF avg1.01.31.11.60.51.0
GA total7222981321
GA avg0.72.01.40.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC WimbledonExeter City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%76%62%71%
1.548%29%19%29%
2.55%24%14%0%
3.50%5%5%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC WimbledonExeter City
HATHAT
Clean sheets415426
Failed to score448268

Penalties

MetricAFC WimbledonExeter City
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAFC WimbledonExeter City
Wins41
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-10-1
Biggest losses1-25-00-22-0
Goals For2341
Goals Against2522

Model comparison

MetricAFC WimbledonExeter City
Form33%67%
Att44%56%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h60%40%
Goals63%38%
Total51.7%48.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AFC Wimbledon or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.24 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AFC Wimbledon = 0.84 (league 1.44), Exeter City = 0.31 (league 1.14)

Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Wimbledon 0 31.9% 9.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.7% 8.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.1% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 40.6% · Away win 12.9%

Vtot 7 , Vtod2