League One
— England
Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 19:45 •
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.46)
0.32 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.6% | 41.0% | 13.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
32.1%
1 - 0
26.3%
2 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Exeter City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 32.1% | 10.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.3% | 8.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Exeter City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 29% | 36% |
| Defense | 50% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Exeter City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 40% | 36% | 38% | 50% | 18% | 33% |
| Draws | 30% | 9% | 19% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Loses | 30% | 55% | 43% | 30% | 82% | 57% |
Form: AFC Wimbledon: LWWLWLLWWWWDWLLLDLDLD • Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDLWDLLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Exeter City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 14 | 24 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 22 | 29 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AFC Wimbledon | Exeter City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 76% | 62% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 29% | 19% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 24% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Exeter City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Exeter City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Exeter City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Exeter City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 51.7% | 48.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : AFC Wimbledon or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.20 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.59 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AFC Wimbledon = 0.82 (league 1.46), Exeter City = 0.32 (league 1.11)
| Exeter City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 32.1% | 10.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.3% | 8.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 41.0% · Away win 13.4%
vtt 38 , vtd1
