League One — England
Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 • St James Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.46) 1.49 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.8% 26.3% 51.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Lincoln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 9.5% 14.2% 10.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.6%
1 8.2% 12.2% 9.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.5% 5.3% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExeter CityLincoln
Played55
Form20%87%
Attack54%100%
Defense8%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Exeter City Lincoln
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins41%22%31%72%53%63%
Draws29%22%26%22%24%23%
Loses29%56%43%6%24%14%

Form: Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDLWDLLWLWLWWDWWDLDDDDLDL • Lincoln: WLWWDDDWWWLWLDLWLWWDWWWDWDWWWWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Exeter City Lincoln
HATHAT
GF total231740402565
GF avg1.40.91.12.21.51.9
GA total192342151631
GA avg1.11.31.20.80.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExeter CityLincoln
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%86%60%
1.526%34%60%23%
2.517%9%26%6%
3.53%6%11%0%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExeter CityLincoln
HATHAT
Clean sheets74116814
Failed to score4711145

Penalties

MetricExeter CityLincoln
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricExeter CityLincoln
Wins24
Draws43
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-34-01-4
Biggest losses1-52-00-13-0
Goals For4354
Goals Against5323

Model comparison

MetricExeter CityLincoln
Form19%81%
Att35%65%
Def8%92%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total33.0%67.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lincoln

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.60 @ 10Bet
Draw4.04 @ Pinnacle
Away1.81 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.06 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Exeter City = 0.86 (league 1.46), Lincoln = 1.49 (league 1.11)

Lincoln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 9.5% 14.2% 10.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.6%
1 8.2% 12.2% 9.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.5% 5.3% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.8% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 51.5%

vtt 22 , vtd1