League One — England
Sat, Jan 10 2026 • 15:00 • St James Park
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.44) 0.75 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.9% 31.0% 24.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.3%
0 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lincoln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 15.1% 11.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 12.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.9% 7.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExeter CityLincoln
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack64%100%
Defense73%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Exeter City Lincoln
HATHAT
Played111324131225
Wins55%23%38%69%42%56%
Draws18%8%13%23%25%24%
Loses27%69%50%8%33%20%

Form: Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDLWDLLWLWLWWD • Lincoln: WLWWDDDWWWLWLDLWLWWDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Exeter City Lincoln
HATHAT
GF total17825261440
GF avg1.50.61.02.01.21.6
GA total81523131326
GA avg0.71.21.01.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExeter CityLincoln
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%80%68%
1.521%29%52%28%
2.513%0%20%8%
3.54%0%4%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExeter CityLincoln
HATHAT
Clean sheets538358
Failed to score268145

Penalties

MetricExeter CityLincoln
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricExeter CityLincoln
Wins23
Draws13
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-15-20-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-13-0
Goals For4253
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricExeter CityLincoln
Form43%57%
Att37%63%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.3%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Exeter City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ Marathonbet
Away2.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Exeter City = 1.14 (league 1.44), Lincoln = 0.75 (league 1.12)

Lincoln
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 15.1% 11.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 12.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.9% 7.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.9% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 24.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1