League One
— England
Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 •
St James Park
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.46)
1.50 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.6% | 26.2% | 51.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Lincoln | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Exeter City | 0 | 9.5% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Exeter City | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 87% |
| Attack | 54% | 100% |
| Defense | 8% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Exeter City | Lincoln | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 41% | 22% | 31% | 72% | 53% | 63% |
| Draws | 29% | 22% | 26% | 22% | 24% | 23% |
| Loses | 29% | 56% | 43% | 6% | 24% | 14% |
Form: Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDLWDLLWLWLWWDWWDLDDDDLDL • Lincoln: WLWWDDDWWWLWLDLWLWWDWWWDWDWWWWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Exeter City | Lincoln | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 17 | 40 | 40 | 25 | 65 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 19 | 23 | 42 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Exeter City | Lincoln | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 69% | 86% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 34% | 60% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 9% | 26% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 6% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Exeter City | Lincoln | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Exeter City | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Exeter City | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Exeter City | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 19% | 81% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 8% | 92% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 33.0% | 67.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Lincoln
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.60 @ 10Bet
Draw4.04 @ Pinnacle
Away1.81 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Exeter City = 0.86 (league 1.46), Lincoln = 1.50 (league 1.10)
| Lincoln | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Exeter City | 0 | 9.5% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.6% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 51.7%
vtt 22 , vtd1
