League One
— England
Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 14:00 •
Aesseal New York Stadium
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.46)
1.26 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.4% | 27.5% | 38.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Stevenage | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rotherham | 0 | 8.9% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rotherham | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 60% |
| Attack | 20% | 40% |
| Defense | 0% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rotherham | Stevenage | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 19 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
| Wins | 32% | 16% | 24% | 58% | 32% | 45% |
| Draws | 37% | 11% | 24% | 32% | 16% | 24% |
| Loses | 32% | 74% | 53% | 11% | 53% | 32% |
Form: Rotherham: WLLDLWLLLDWWWDWDDDLLLLLLLDWWLLLLWDLDLL • Stevenage: WWWWLWDWWWLDLDWDLWDDLDLLDDWLLWWLWWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Rotherham | Stevenage | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 13 | 35 | 22 | 19 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 26 | 32 | 58 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rotherham | Stevenage | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 79% | 74% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 45% | 26% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 21% | 8% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rotherham | Stevenage | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rotherham | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rotherham | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rotherham | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 18% | 82% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 21% | 79% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Stevenage
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away2.28 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ 10Bet
No1.77 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rotherham = 1.15 (league 1.46), Stevenage = 1.27 (league 1.10)
| Stevenage | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rotherham | 0 | 8.9% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.2% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 39.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1
