Ligat Ha'al — Israel
Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 18:30 • Teddy Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.55) 1.14 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.0% 21.7% 21.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Beitar Jerusalem 0 4.4% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.8% 10.0% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.9% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBeitar JerusalemHapoel Tel Aviv
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack93%80%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Beitar Jerusalem Hapoel Tel Aviv
HATHAT
Played87157714
Wins50%86%67%100%14%57%
Draws38%0%20%0%43%21%
Loses13%14%13%0%43%21%

Form: Beitar Jerusalem: WDLWWWDWLWWWDWW • Hapoel Tel Aviv: WDWWWLLWDWLWDW

League goals

Metric Beitar Jerusalem Hapoel Tel Aviv
HATHAT
GF total142337171229
GF avg1.83.32.52.41.72.1
GA total8101841216
GA avg1.01.41.20.61.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBeitar JerusalemHapoel Tel Aviv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%86%64%
1.573%33%64%50%
2.540%7%29%0%
3.527%0%14%0%
4.520%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBeitar JerusalemHapoel Tel Aviv
HATHAT
Clean sheets213415
Failed to score303022

Penalties

MetricBeitar JerusalemHapoel Tel Aviv
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total72

Streaks

MetricBeitar JerusalemHapoel Tel Aviv
Wins33
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-54-02-6
Biggest losses0-13-2—2-0
Goals For5646
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricBeitar JerusalemHapoel Tel Aviv
Form57%43%
Att54%46%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Beitar Jerusalem or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ 1xBet
Draw3.97 @ Pinnacle
Away3.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Beitar Jerusalem = 1.97 (league 1.55), Hapoel Tel Aviv = 1.14 (league 1.49)

Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Beitar Jerusalem 0 4.4% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.8% 10.0% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.9% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.0% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 21.6%

Vtot 10 , Vtod4