La Liga — Spain
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.45) 0.81 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.7% 19.8% 13.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 0
11.7%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sevilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 5.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.7% 9.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.7% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.3% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.3% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MadridSevilla
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack73%64%
Defense45%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid Sevilla
HATHAT
Played710178816
Wins86%60%71%38%38%38%
Draws0%30%18%13%13%13%
Loses14%10%12%50%50%50%

Form: Real Madrid: WWWWWWLWWWWDDDWLW • Sevilla: LLWDWLWWLLLWLLDW

League goals

Metric Real Madrid Sevilla
HATHAT
GF total142034141024
GF avg2.02.02.01.81.31.5
GA total51116121224
GA avg0.71.10.91.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MadridSevilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%59%88%75%
1.571%18%38%56%
2.529%6%13%19%
3.512%6%13%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MadridSevilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets347224
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricReal MadridSevilla
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricReal MadridSevilla
Wins62
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-21-33-0
Goals For4442
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricReal MadridSevilla
Form53%47%
Att53%47%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h93%7%
Goals71%29%
Total64.5%35.5%

Advice: Double chance : Real Madrid or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.23 @ 1xBet
Draw8.18 @ Pinnacle
Away15.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Betano
Under 2.53.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid = 2.07 (league 1.45), Sevilla = 0.81 (league 1.13)

Sevilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 5.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.7% 9.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.7% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.3% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.3% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.7% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 13.6%

Vtot 27 , Vtod11