Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 20:00 •
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.51)
0.80 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.6% | 20.6% | 14.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.3%
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Sevilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Madrid | 0 | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Madrid | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 73% | 64% |
| Defense | 45% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Madrid | Sevilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 10 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 86% | 60% | 71% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Draws | 0% | 30% | 18% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Loses | 14% | 10% | 12% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Real Madrid: WWWWWWLWWWWDDDWLW • Sevilla: LLWDWLWWLLLWLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Real Madrid | Sevilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 20 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 5 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Madrid | Sevilla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 59% | 88% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 18% | 38% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 6% | 13% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 6% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Madrid | Sevilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Madrid | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Madrid | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-2 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Madrid | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 64.5% | 35.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Real Madrid or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.23 @ 1xBet
Draw8.18 @ Pinnacle
Away15.10 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.40 @ Betano
Under 2.53.20 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Real Madrid
vs
Sevilla
Expected goals
1.99
Real Madrid xG
League Avg: 1.51
Total
2.78
0.80
Sevilla xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
63.6%
Draw
20.6%
Away
14.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
12.3%
Tip
2 - 0
12.2%
Tip
1 - 1
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
81%
Chance
2.5+
57%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid = 1.99 (league 1.51), Sevilla = 0.80 (league 1.14)
| Sevilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Madrid | 0 | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.6% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 14.2%
vtt 33 , vtd1