La Liga — Spain
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 17:30 • Estadio Mendizorrotza
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.46) 0.52 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.5% 23.5% 11.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.8%
2 - 0
15.5%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Oviedo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 11.4% 5.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.8% 9.8% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.5% 8.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.5% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlavesOviedo
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack19%0%
Defense44%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.60 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alaves Oviedo
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins44%13%29%11%13%12%
Draws22%13%18%44%13%29%
Loses33%75%53%44%75%59%

Form: Alaves: WLDWLDLWDLWLLLWLL • Oviedo: LLWLLLWLLDDLDLDLD

League goals

Metric Alaves Oviedo
HATHAT
GF total11314257
GF avg1.20.40.80.20.60.4
GA total91120101626
GA avg1.01.41.21.12.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlavesOviedo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%82%24%71%
1.518%24%12%53%
2.56%12%6%24%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlavesOviedo
HATHAT
Clean sheets213505
Failed to score2577613

Penalties

MetricAlavesOviedo
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricAlavesOviedo
Wins11
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-11-01-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-34-0
Goals For3113
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricAlavesOviedo
Form50%50%
Att100%0%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Alaves or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ 1xBet
Draw3.18 @ 1xBet
Away5.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.45 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.58 @ Pinnacle
No1.55 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alaves = 1.65 (league 1.46), Oviedo = 0.52 (league 1.15)

Oviedo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 11.4% 5.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.8% 9.8% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.5% 8.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.5% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.5% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 11.3%

vtt 5 , vtd1