La Liga — Spain
Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Mendizorrotza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.50) 1.58 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.9% 24.9% 45.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 6.2% 9.8% 7.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.5% 11.8% 9.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.5% 7.1% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlavesVillarreal
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack36%50%
Defense29%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alaves Villarreal
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%14%26%79%46%63%
Draws31%14%22%7%15%11%
Loses31%71%52%14%38%26%

Form: Alaves: WLDWLDLWDLWLLLWLLDLLWWLDDLL • Villarreal: WWDLWWWLDWWWWWWLWWLLDWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Alaves Villarreal
HATHAT
GF total16925311950
GF avg1.20.60.92.21.51.9
GA total152237122032
GA avg1.21.61.40.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlavesVillarreal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%89%85%70%
1.526%33%63%37%
2.54%15%22%7%
3.50%0%11%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlavesVillarreal
HATHAT
Clean sheets213538
Failed to score3710224

Penalties

MetricAlavesVillarreal
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricAlavesVillarreal
Wins26
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-25-01-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-24-1
Goals For3253
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricAlavesVillarreal
Form18%82%
Att42%58%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total36.7%63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Villarreal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.58 @ 1xBet
Draw3.44 @ 1xBet
Away2.25 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.92 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alaves = 1.20 (league 1.50), Villarreal = 1.58 (league 1.14)

Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 6.2% 9.8% 7.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.5% 11.8% 9.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.5% 7.1% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.9% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 45.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1