Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 19:00 • Soevereinstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.42) 0.40 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.5% 33.7% 13.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.5%
0 - 0
22.7%
2 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
K. Lierse S.K.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lommel United 0 22.7% 9.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.5% 9.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.2% 5.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLommel UnitedK. Lierse S.K.
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack100%63%
Defense0%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lommel United K. Lierse S.K.
HATHAT
Played710179817
Wins43%50%47%44%25%35%
Draws14%40%29%33%25%29%
Loses43%10%24%22%50%35%

Form: Lommel United: DWDWWLWLWDLDDLWWW • K. Lierse S.K.: LLWLLWDDLLDDWWWWD

League goals

Metric Lommel United K. Lierse S.K.
HATHAT
GF total12223413417
GF avg1.72.22.01.40.51.0
GA total8172511718
GA avg1.11.71.51.20.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLommel UnitedK. Lierse S.K.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%71%59%59%
1.576%47%24%35%
2.529%18%12%6%
3.56%12%6%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLommel UnitedK. Lierse S.K.
HATHAT
Clean sheets235437
Failed to score112347

Penalties

MetricLommel UnitedK. Lierse S.K.
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLommel UnitedK. Lierse S.K.
Wins24
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-00-1
Biggest losses1-24-20-22-0
Goals For3441
Goals Against2442

Model comparison

MetricLommel UnitedK. Lierse S.K.
Form43%57%
Att67%33%
Def11%89%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h62%38%
Goals59%41%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lommel United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Unibet
Away3.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ SBO
Under 2.52.07 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Pinnacle
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lommel United = 1.08 (league 1.42), K. Lierse S.K. = 0.40 (league 1.36)

K. Lierse S.K.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lommel United 0 22.7% 9.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.5% 9.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.2% 5.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.5% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 13.7%

vtt 17 , vtd1