Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 19:00 •
Soevereinstadion
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.46)
0.40 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.6% | 34.4% | 14.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.6%
0 - 0
23.4%
2 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| K. Lierse S.K. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lommel United | 0 | 23.4% | 9.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.6% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lommel United | K. Lierse S.K. |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 100% | 63% |
| Defense | 0% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lommel United | K. Lierse S.K. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 10 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 43% | 50% | 47% | 44% | 25% | 35% |
| Draws | 14% | 40% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Loses | 43% | 10% | 24% | 22% | 50% | 35% |
Form: Lommel United: DWDWWLWLWDLDDLWWW • K. Lierse S.K.: LLWLLWDDLLDDWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Lommel United | K. Lierse S.K. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 22 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 17 | 25 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lommel United | K. Lierse S.K. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 71% | 59% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 76% | 47% | 24% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 18% | 12% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 12% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lommel United | K. Lierse S.K. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lommel United | K. Lierse S.K. |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lommel United | K. Lierse S.K. |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lommel United | K. Lierse S.K. |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 11% | 89% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Lommel United or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Unibet
Away3.60 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.83 @ SBO
Under 2.52.07 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.66 @ Pinnacle
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lommel United = 1.05 (league 1.46), K. Lierse S.K. = 0.40 (league 1.37)
| K. Lierse S.K. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lommel United | 0 | 23.4% | 9.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.6% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.6% · Draw 34.4% · Away win 14.0%
vtt 19 , vtd1
