3. Liga — Germany
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:00 • Sportclub Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.21 (league 1.62) 1.75 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.9% 15.1% 17.5%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.8%
2 - 1
6.3%
3 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Hoffenheim II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Verl 0 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.3% 4.0% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
2 3.6% 6.3% 5.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
3 3.9% 6.8% 5.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
4 3.1% 5.4% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
5 2.0% 3.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVerlHoffenheim II
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack61%35%
Defense65%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Verl Hoffenheim II
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins55%42%48%42%36%39%
Draws36%33%35%33%9%22%
Loses9%25%17%25%55%39%

Form: Verl: DDDLWWWLDWWWDDWWDDWWLWL • Hoffenheim II: DWWWLLWDLLWDWLWLWDWLLLD

League goals

Metric Verl Hoffenheim II
HATHAT
GF total292756232245
GF avg2.62.32.41.92.02.0
GA total132134172239
GA avg1.21.81.51.42.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVerlHoffenheim II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%83%91%78%
1.578%52%52%52%
2.530%9%26%30%
3.530%4%22%9%
4.513%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVerlHoffenheim II
HATHAT
Clean sheets314325
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricVerlHoffenheim II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricVerlHoffenheim II
Wins33
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-54-11-5
Biggest losses2-34-22-44-0
Goals For5545
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricVerlHoffenheim II
Form69%31%
Att64%36%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total65.6%34.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Verl or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ 888Sport
Draw5.11 @ Pinnacle
Away5.40 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.18 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Verl = 3.21 (league 1.62), Hoffenheim II = 1.75 (league 1.37)

Hoffenheim II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Verl 0 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.3% 4.0% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
2 3.6% 6.3% 5.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
3 3.9% 6.8% 5.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
4 3.1% 5.4% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
5 2.0% 3.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.9% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 17.5%

vtt 2 , vtd1