Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:30 •
Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.66)
0.74 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8% | 19.9% | 12.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 0
12.8%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Saarbrücken | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| MSV Duisburg | 0 | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 56% | 44% |
| Defense | 38% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 69% | 29% | 48% | 46% | 7% | 26% |
| Draws | 31% | 36% | 33% | 31% | 50% | 41% |
| Loses | 0% | 36% | 19% | 23% | 43% | 33% |
Form: MSV Duisburg: WWWWWWDWDDLDDWLWLDDWWLWLWDD • FC Saarbrücken: DWLWWWWDDDLLLDLLLDDDLLDWDDW
League goals
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 20 | 47 | 23 | 14 | 37 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 13 | 20 | 33 | 16 | 22 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 67% | 74% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 26% | 44% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 15% | 15% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 7% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 6-1 | 2-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 23% | 77% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 56.5% | 43.5% |
Advice: Double chance : MSV Duisburg or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.30 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away3.21 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.98 @ SBO
Under 2.51.93 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
MSV Duisburg
vs
FC Saarbrücken
Expected goals
2.02
MSV Duisburg xG
League Avg: 1.66
Total
2.76
0.74
FC Saarbrücken xG
League Avg: 1.36
1x2 probabilities
Home
65.8%
Draw
19.9%
Away
12.6%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
13.0%
Tip
1 - 0
12.8%
Tip
2 - 1
9.5%
More chances
1.5+
81%
Chance
2.5+
57%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected
Expected goals (λ): MSV Duisburg = 2.02 (league 1.66), FC Saarbrücken = 0.74 (league 1.36)
| FC Saarbrücken | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| MSV Duisburg | 0 | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.8% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 12.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1