Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:30 •
Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.62)
0.73 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8% | 19.3% | 11.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 0
12.6%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Saarbrücken | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| MSV Duisburg | 0 | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 60% | 33% |
| Defense | 27% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| Wins | 69% | 31% | 50% | 42% | 7% | 23% |
| Draws | 31% | 31% | 31% | 33% | 50% | 42% |
| Loses | 0% | 38% | 19% | 25% | 43% | 35% |
Form: MSV Duisburg: WWWWWWDWDDLDDWLWLDDWWLWLWD • FC Saarbrücken: DWLWWWWDDDLLLDLLLDDDLLDWDD
League goals
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 20 | 47 | 21 | 14 | 35 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 13 | 20 | 33 | 16 | 22 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 69% | 73% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 27% | 42% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 15% | 15% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 6-1 | 2-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | FC Saarbrücken |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 59.7% | 40.3% |
Advice: Double chance : MSV Duisburg or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.16 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away2.94 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.64 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Unibet
No2.18 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): MSV Duisburg = 2.08 (league 1.62), FC Saarbrücken = 0.73 (league 1.37)
| FC Saarbrücken | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| MSV Duisburg | 0 | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 11.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
