Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:30 • Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.62) 0.73 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.8% 19.3% 11.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 0
12.6%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
FC Saarbrücken
0 1 2 3 4 5
MSV Duisburg 0 6.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 9.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.0% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMSV DuisburgFC Saarbrücken
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack60%33%
Defense27%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MSV Duisburg FC Saarbrücken
HATHAT
Played131326121426
Wins69%31%50%42%7%23%
Draws31%31%31%33%50%42%
Loses0%38%19%25%43%35%

Form: MSV Duisburg: WWWWWWDWDDLDDWLWLDDWWLWLWD • FC Saarbrücken: DWLWWWWDDDLLLDLLLDDDLLDWDD

League goals

Metric MSV Duisburg FC Saarbrücken
HATHAT
GF total272047211435
GF avg2.11.51.81.81.01.3
GA total132033162238
GA avg1.01.51.31.31.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMSV DuisburgFC Saarbrücken
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%69%73%88%
1.558%27%42%42%
2.531%15%15%12%
3.512%8%4%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMSV DuisburgFC Saarbrücken
HATHAT
Clean sheets268213
Failed to score145257

Penalties

MetricMSV DuisburgFC Saarbrücken
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMSV DuisburgFC Saarbrücken
Wins64
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-44-11-3
Biggest losses6-12-42-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against2643

Model comparison

MetricMSV DuisburgFC Saarbrücken
Form54%46%
Att64%36%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h75%25%
Goals64%36%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : MSV Duisburg or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away2.94 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Unibet
No2.18 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MSV Duisburg = 2.08 (league 1.62), FC Saarbrücken = 0.73 (league 1.37)

FC Saarbrücken
0 1 2 3 4 5
MSV Duisburg 0 6.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 9.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.0% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 11.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1