Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 14:30 •
Ludwigspark Stadion
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.66)
1.68 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.5% | 23.6% | 42.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Saarbrücken | 0 | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Saarbrücken | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 54% | 46% |
| Defense | 23% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Saarbrücken | FC Ingolstadt 04 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 16 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 43% | 6% | 23% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 36% | 44% | 40% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 21% | 50% | 37% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: FC Saarbrücken: DWLWWWWDDDLLLDLLLDDDLLDWDDWLDL • FC Ingolstadt 04: DLDDLWDLDWWWLLLWDLDWWWDDWLDLWL
League goals
| Metric | FC Saarbrücken | FC Ingolstadt 04 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 16 | 40 | 22 | 28 | 50 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 17 | 29 | 46 | 20 | 21 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Saarbrücken | FC Ingolstadt 04 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 87% | 87% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 43% | 43% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 17% | 23% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 7% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Saarbrücken | FC Ingolstadt 04 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Saarbrücken | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Saarbrücken | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 2-6 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Saarbrücken | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 39.7% | 60.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Ingolstadt 04
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.96 @ Unibet
Draw3.88 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.60 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
FC Saarbrücken
vs
FC Ingolstadt 04
Expected goals
1.43
FC Saarbrücken xG
League Avg: 1.66
Total
3.11
1.68
FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
League Avg: 1.36
1x2 probabilities
Home
32.5%
Draw
23.6%
Away
42.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.7%
Tip
1 - 2
9.0%
Tip
2 - 1
7.7%
More chances
1.5+
86%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
79%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): FC Saarbrücken = 1.43 (league 1.66), FC Ingolstadt 04 = 1.68 (league 1.36)
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Saarbrücken | 0 | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.5% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 42.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1