Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 11:30 •
Donaustadion
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.66)
3.09 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.0% | 14.2% | 63.2% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.9%
1 - 2
7.6%
1 - 4
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Verl | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SSV Ulm 1846 | 0 | 1.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SSV Ulm 1846 | Verl |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 67% |
| Attack | 43% | 71% |
| Defense | 21% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SSV Ulm 1846 | Verl | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 27% | 20% | 23% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Draws | 7% | 20% | 13% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
| Loses | 67% | 60% | 63% | 13% | 27% | 20% |
Form: SSV Ulm 1846: LWLLWLWDWLLLLLLLWLLLWWLLDDLLLD • Verl: DDDLWWWLDWWWDDWWDDWWLWLWLDLWWW
League goals
| Metric | SSV Ulm 1846 | Verl | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 20 | 39 | 40 | 30 | 70 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 31 | 31 | 62 | 16 | 25 | 41 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SSV Ulm 1846 | Verl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 87% | 90% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 57% | 73% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 40% | 33% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 13% | 27% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 10% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SSV Ulm 1846 | Verl | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | SSV Ulm 1846 | Verl |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | SSV Ulm 1846 | Verl |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 5-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 5-0 | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SSV Ulm 1846 | Verl |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 21% | 79% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 37.2% | 63.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Verl
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.35 @ Pinnacle
Away1.84 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.60 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.63 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
SSV Ulm 1846
vs
Verl
Expected goals
1.33
SSV Ulm 1846 xG
League Avg: 1.66
Total
4.42
3.09
Verl xG
League Avg: 1.36
1x2 probabilities
Home
13.0%
Draw
14.2%
Away
63.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 3
7.9%
Tip
1 - 2
7.6%
Tip
1 - 4
6.1%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
71%
Chance
3.5+
51%
Chance
BTTS
82%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): SSV Ulm 1846 = 1.33 (league 1.66), Verl = 3.09 (league 1.36)
| Verl | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SSV Ulm 1846 | 0 | 1.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.0% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 63.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1