Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 12:00 •
Ludwigspark Stadion
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.66)
0.97 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.2% | 27.6% | 26.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| TSV 1860 München | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Saarbrücken | 0 | 9.8% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FC Saarbrücken | TSV 1860 München |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 20% |
| Attack | 19% | 25% |
| Defense | 56% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FC Saarbrücken | TSV 1860 München | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 44% | 6% | 24% | 47% | 38% | 42% |
| Draws | 38% | 41% | 39% | 41% | 13% | 27% |
| Loses | 19% | 53% | 36% | 12% | 50% | 30% |
Form: FC Saarbrücken: DWLWWWWDDDLLLDLLLDDDLLDWDDWLDLWDL • TSV 1860 München: DWWDWLLLDLWLWLWWWWLDDDLWWWWWDLDLD
League goals
| Metric | FC Saarbrücken | TSV 1860 München | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 16 | 42 | 30 | 19 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 18 | 31 | 49 | 22 | 23 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FC Saarbrücken | TSV 1860 München | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 85% | 82% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 42% | 42% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 15% | 18% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 6% | 3% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FC Saarbrücken | TSV 1860 München | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | FC Saarbrücken | TSV 1860 München |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 83.33% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 16.67% |
| Total | 2 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | FC Saarbrücken | TSV 1860 München |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 1-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FC Saarbrücken | TSV 1860 München |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 54.2% | 46.0% |
Advice: Double chance : FC Saarbrücken or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away3.20 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.60 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): FC Saarbrücken = 1.35 (league 1.66), TSV 1860 München = 0.97 (league 1.36)
| TSV 1860 München | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FC Saarbrücken | 0 | 9.8% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 26.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
