Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 17:00 • Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.46) 1.04 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.8% 32.4% 41.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.3%
0 - 0
16.6%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Başakşehir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samsunspor 0 16.6% 17.3% 9.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 13.0% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.7% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSamsunsporBaşakşehir
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack89%100%
Defense33%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Samsunspor Başakşehir
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins38%43%40%14%38%27%
Draws50%43%47%57%13%33%
Loses13%14%13%29%50%40%

Form: Samsunspor: WWDLDWDDWDWWDDL • Başakşehir: DDLWDLLLDWWLLWD

League goals

Metric Samsunspor Başakşehir
HATHAT
GF total9132281220
GF avg1.11.91.51.11.51.3
GA total79169817
GA avg0.91.31.11.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSamsunsporBaşakşehir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%73%80%67%
1.540%27%27%33%
2.520%7%20%7%
3.50%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSamsunsporBaşakşehir
HATHAT
Clean sheets314235
Failed to score202123

Penalties

MetricSamsunsporBaşakşehir
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSamsunsporBaşakşehir
Wins22
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-31-00-4
Biggest losses1-23-23-42-1
Goals For3334
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricSamsunsporBaşakşehir
Form53%47%
Att47%53%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.14 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.33 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Samsunspor = 0.75 (league 1.46), Başakşehir = 1.04 (league 1.29)

Başakşehir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samsunspor 0 16.6% 17.3% 9.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 13.0% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.7% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 41.7%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1