Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 14:00 •
Cwrt-yr-Ala
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.73)
1.24 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.1% | 25.5% | 31.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Aberystwyth Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caerau (Ely) | 0 | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Aberystwyth Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 46% | 33% |
| Defense | 58% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Aberystwyth Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 57% | 57% | 57% | 38% | 67% | 50% |
| Draws | 29% | 14% | 21% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 14% | 29% | 21% | 38% | 33% | 36% |
Form: Caerau (Ely): WDWWWLDWWWWLLD • Aberystwyth Town: WWDLDLWWWLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Aberystwyth Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Caerau (Ely) | Aberystwyth Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 57% | 64% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 29% | 43% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 29% | 21% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Aberystwyth Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Aberystwyth Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Aberystwyth Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Caerau (Ely) | Aberystwyth Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.8% | 49.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Aberystwyth Town
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.92 @ Pinnacle
Away3.65 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.61 @ Superbet
No2.25 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Caerau (Ely)
vs
Aberystwyth Town
Expected goals
1.47
Caerau (Ely) xG
League Avg: 1.73
Total
2.71
1.24
Aberystwyth Town xG
League Avg: 1.51
1x2 probabilities
Home
42.1%
Draw
25.5%
Away
31.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.1%
Tip
1 - 0
9.8%
Tip
2 - 1
8.9%
More chances
1.5+
84%
Chance
2.5+
59%
Chance
3.5+
42%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Caerau (Ely) = 1.47 (league 1.73), Aberystwyth Town = 1.24 (league 1.51)
| Aberystwyth Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caerau (Ely) | 0 | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 31.8%
vtt 3 , vtd1