Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 14:00 • Cwrt-yr-Ala
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.71) 1.30 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.3% 25.2% 32.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
9.2%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Aberystwyth Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caerau (Ely) 0 6.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.2% 11.9% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.9% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaerau (Ely)Aberystwyth Town
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack100%47%
Defense40%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 37 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caerau (Ely) Aberystwyth Town
HATHAT
Played76136612
Wins57%67%62%33%67%50%
Draws29%0%15%33%0%17%
Loses14%33%23%33%33%33%

Form: Caerau (Ely): WDWWWLDWWWWLL • Aberystwyth Town: WWDLDLWWWLWL

League goals

Metric Caerau (Ely) Aberystwyth Town
HATHAT
GF total12162841014
GF avg1.72.72.20.71.71.2
GA total87154913
GA avg1.11.21.20.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaerau (Ely)Aberystwyth Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%54%58%67%
1.569%31%42%33%
2.523%31%17%8%
3.523%0%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaerau (Ely)Aberystwyth Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets336314
Failed to score101415

Penalties

MetricCaerau (Ely)Aberystwyth Town
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricCaerau (Ely)Aberystwyth Town
Wins43
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-52-02-3
Biggest losses2-33-20-23-1
Goals For4523
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricCaerau (Ely)Aberystwyth Town
Form50%50%
Att68%32%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Double chance : Caerau (Ely) or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.25 @ Marathonbet
Away5.81 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Marathonbet
No2.10 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caerau (Ely) = 1.49 (league 1.71), Aberystwyth Town = 1.30 (league 1.44)

Aberystwyth Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caerau (Ely) 0 6.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.2% 11.9% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.9% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 32.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1