Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 14:00 • Cwrt-yr-Ala
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.71) 1.26 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.1% 25.4% 31.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Aberystwyth Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caerau (Ely) 0 6.4% 8.1% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.0% 7.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 8.9% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaerau (Ely)Aberystwyth Town
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack46%33%
Defense58%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caerau (Ely) Aberystwyth Town
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins57%57%57%38%67%50%
Draws29%14%21%25%0%14%
Loses14%29%21%38%33%36%

Form: Caerau (Ely): WDWWWLDWWWWLLD • Aberystwyth Town: WWDLDLWWWLWLWL

League goals

Metric Caerau (Ely) Aberystwyth Town
HATHAT
GF total12172991019
GF avg1.72.42.11.11.71.4
GA total88166915
GA avg1.11.11.10.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaerau (Ely)Aberystwyth Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%57%64%64%
1.564%29%43%36%
2.521%29%21%7%
3.521%0%7%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaerau (Ely)Aberystwyth Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets336415
Failed to score101415

Penalties

MetricCaerau (Ely)Aberystwyth Town
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricCaerau (Ely)Aberystwyth Town
Wins43
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-54-02-3
Biggest losses2-33-20-23-1
Goals For4543
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricCaerau (Ely)Aberystwyth Town
Form54%46%
Att58%42%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.8%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aberystwyth Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.92 @ Pinnacle
Away3.65 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Superbet
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caerau (Ely) = 1.49 (league 1.71), Aberystwyth Town = 1.26 (league 1.48)

Aberystwyth Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caerau (Ely) 0 6.4% 8.1% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.0% 7.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 8.9% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 31.9%

vtt 3 , vtd1