Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 14:00 •
Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.73)
0.96 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.2% | 24.9% | 22.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Afan Lido | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Baglan Dragons | 0 | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Baglan Dragons | Afan Lido |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 54% | 38% |
| Defense | 23% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Baglan Dragons | Afan Lido | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 7 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| Wins | 22% | 14% | 19% | 14% | 22% | 19% |
| Draws | 44% | 29% | 38% | 29% | 11% | 19% |
| Loses | 33% | 57% | 44% | 57% | 67% | 63% |
Form: Baglan Dragons: WLDLDDDLLDDLWWLL • Afan Lido: LLWLWLLLDDLWLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Baglan Dragons | Afan Lido | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 14 | 8 | 22 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Baglan Dragons | Afan Lido | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 75% | 44% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 38% | 31% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 19% | 13% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Baglan Dragons | Afan Lido | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Baglan Dragons | Afan Lido |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Baglan Dragons | Afan Lido |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-1 | 0-4 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Baglan Dragons | Afan Lido |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 61.3% | 38.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Baglan Dragons or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.66 @ Superbet
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away5.00 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.66 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.68 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Baglan Dragons
vs
Afan Lido
Expected goals
1.62
Baglan Dragons xG
League Avg: 1.73
Total
2.57
0.96
Afan Lido xG
League Avg: 1.51
1x2 probabilities
Home
52.2%
Draw
24.9%
Away
22.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
12.3%
Tip
1 - 1
11.8%
Tip
2 - 0
10.0%
More chances
1.5+
81%
Chance
2.5+
57%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Baglan Dragons = 1.62 (league 1.73), Afan Lido = 0.96 (league 1.51)
| Afan Lido | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Baglan Dragons | 0 | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.2% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 22.3%
vtt 5 , vtd1