Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 14:00 • Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.71) 0.98 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.2% 24.6% 22.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Afan Lido
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baglan Dragons 0 7.3% 7.1% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.0% 11.7% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.6% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaglan DragonsAfan Lido
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack54%38%
Defense23%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baglan Dragons Afan Lido
HATHAT
Played97167916
Wins22%14%19%14%22%19%
Draws44%29%38%29%11%19%
Loses33%57%44%57%67%63%

Form: Baglan Dragons: WLDLDDDLLDDLWWLL • Afan Lido: LLWLWLLLDDLWLDLL

League goals

Metric Baglan Dragons Afan Lido
HATHAT
GF total135187815
GF avg1.40.71.11.00.90.9
GA total14822151833
GA avg1.61.11.42.12.02.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaglan DragonsAfan Lido
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%75%44%94%
1.525%38%31%50%
2.519%19%13%31%
3.50%6%6%19%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaglan DragonsAfan Lido
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score325369

Penalties

MetricBaglan DragonsAfan Lido
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBaglan DragonsAfan Lido
Wins21
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-21-4
Biggest losses0-32-10-46-0
Goals For3134
Goals Against4246

Model comparison

MetricBaglan DragonsAfan Lido
Form60%40%
Att58%42%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h62%38%
Goals70%30%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : Baglan Dragons or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.66 @ Superbet
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away5.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baglan Dragons = 1.64 (league 1.71), Afan Lido = 0.98 (league 1.47)

Afan Lido
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baglan Dragons 0 7.3% 7.1% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.0% 11.7% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.6% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.2% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 22.5%

vtt 5 , vtd1