Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:30 •
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.45)
1.46 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.4% | 25.8% | 65.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
24.2%
0 - 2
17.6%
0 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Nacional | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AVS | 0 | 16.6% | 24.2% | 17.6% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AVS | Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 27% |
| Attack | 40% | 50% |
| Defense | 0% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AVS | Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Draws | 29% | 14% | 21% | 0% | 43% | 21% |
| Loses | 71% | 86% | 79% | 71% | 29% | 50% |
Form: AVS: LLDLLLLLLDDLLL • Nacional: LDLWLLWWDLDLLW
League goals
| Metric | AVS | Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 14 | 23 | 37 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AVS | Nacional | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 71% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 86% | 21% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 14% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AVS | Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | AVS | Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | AVS | Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-0 | 1-4 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AVS | Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 21% | 79% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 27.7% | 72.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nacional
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.42 @ 1xBet
Away2.70 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.21 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.80 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ Unibet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
AVS
vs
Nacional
Expected goals
0.34
AVS xG
League Avg: 1.45
Total
1.80
1.46
Nacional xG
League Avg: 1.23
1x2 probabilities
Home
8.4%
Draw
25.8%
Away
65.4%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
24.2%
Tip
0 - 2
17.6%
Tip
0 - 0
16.6%
More chances
1.5+
71%
Chance
2.5+
50%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): AVS = 0.34 (league 1.45), Nacional = 1.46 (league 1.23)
| Nacional | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AVS | 0 | 16.6% | 24.2% | 17.6% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.4% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 65.4%
vtt 8 , vtd1