Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:30 • Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Match Finished

AVS

2 - 2
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.37) 1.46 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.9% 25.9% 64.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.7%
0 - 2
17.3%
0 - 0
16.3%
Score & goals probability table
Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
AVS 0 16.3% 23.7% 17.3% 8.4% 3.1% 0.9%
1 5.8% 8.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAVSNacional
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack40%50%
Defense0%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 36 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AVS Nacional
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins0%0%0%29%29%29%
Draws29%14%21%0%43%21%
Loses71%86%79%71%29%50%

Form: AVS: LLDLLLLLLDDLLL • Nacional: LDLWLLWWDLDLLW

League goals

Metric AVS Nacional
HATHAT
GF total5499615
GF avg0.70.60.61.30.91.1
GA total14233714519
GA avg2.03.32.62.00.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAVSNacional
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%71%86%
1.514%86%21%36%
2.50%50%14%7%
3.50%14%0%7%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAVSNacional
HATHAT
Clean sheets000022
Failed to score347224

Penalties

MetricAVSNacional
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricAVSNacional
Wins02
Draws21
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-10-2
Biggest losses0-36-01-41-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against3641

Model comparison

MetricAVSNacional
Form33%67%
Att44%56%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h9%91%
Goals30%70%
Total27.7%72.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nacional

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.42 @ 1xBet
Away2.70 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.80 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Unibet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AVS = 0.36 (league 1.37), Nacional = 1.46 (league 1.24)

Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
AVS 0 16.3% 23.7% 17.3% 8.4% 3.1% 0.9%
1 5.8% 8.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.9% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 64.8%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1