Arouca vs Guimaraes

Primeira Liga — Portugal

Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 20:30 • Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Match Finished

Arouca

3 - 2

Guimaraes

Expected Goals

1.07 (league 1.45) 1.19 (league 1.23)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
32.5%	28.6%	38.7%

best score tips

1 - 1

13.3%

0 - 1

12.5%

1 - 0

11.2%

Score & goals probability table

		Guimaraes
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Arouca	0	10.5%	12.5%	7.4%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
	1	11.2%	13.3%	7.9%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%
	2	5.9%	7.1%	4.2%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	3	2.1%	2.5%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	0.6%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Arouca	Guimaraes
Played	5	5
Form	47%	47%
Attack	53%	33%
Defense	53%	60%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	6 \| 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%

FT probability

2.5+

56%

FT probability

3.5+

40%

FT probability

BTTS

63%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Arouca			Guimaraes
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	10	10	20	11	9	20
Wins	20%	30%	25%	45%	33%	40%
Draws	30%	20%	25%	27%	11%	20%
Loses	50%	50%	50%	27%	56%	40%

Form: Arouca: WLDDLWLDLLLLLWDDLWLW • Guimaraes: LWLDWDLWLLWWDWLDWLLW

League goals

Metric	Arouca			Guimaraes
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	11	12	23	15	6	21
GF avg	1.1	1.2	1.2	1.4	0.7	1.1
GA total	21	23	44	14	13	27
GA avg	2.1	2.3	2.2	1.3	1.4	1.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Arouca		Guimaraes
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	65%	80%	60%	65%
1.5	30%	60%	30%	40%
2.5	20%	40%	10%	20%
3.5	0%	25%	5%	10%
4.5	0%	10%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Arouca			Guimaraes
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	3	4	3	4	7
Failed to score	4	3	7	3	5	8

Penalties

Metric	Arouca	Guimaraes
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	3

Streaks

Metric	Arouca	Guimaraes
Wins	1	2
Draws	2	1
Losses	5	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-1	0-3	4-0	0-2
Biggest losses	0-4	6-0	1-4	3-0
Goals For	3	3	4	2
Goals Against	4	6	4	4

Model comparison

Metric	Arouca	Guimaraes
Form	50%	50%
Att	62%	38%
Def	46%	54%
Poisson Distribution	49%	51%
H2h	15%	85%
Goals	36%	64%
Total	43.0%	57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guimaraes

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Unibet

Draw3.25 @ Bet365

Away2.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.73 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365

No1.97 @ Pinnacle

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Arouca vs Guimaraes

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Arouca

Guimaraes

Primeira Liga • Portugal • Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 20:30 • Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Expected goals

1.07

Arouca xG League Avg: 1.45

Total

2.26

1.19

Guimaraes xG League Avg: 1.23

1x2 probabilities

Home

32.5%

Draw

28.6%

Away

38.7%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

13.3%

Tip

0 - 1

12.5%

Tip

1 - 0

11.2%

More chances

1.5+

80%

Chance

2.5+

56%

Chance

3.5+

40%

Chance

BTTS

63%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 4

Exp.

#Arouca #Guimaraes #PrimeiraLiga #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Arouca = 1.07 (league 1.45), Guimaraes = 1.19 (league 1.23)

		Guimaraes
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Arouca	0	10.5%	12.5%	7.4%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
	1	11.2%	13.3%	7.9%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%
	2	5.9%	7.1%	4.2%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	3	2.1%	2.5%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	0.6%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.5% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 38.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Arouca	Guimaraes
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	3