Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 20:15 •
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
Expected Goals
2.99 (league 1.45)
0.84 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.1% | 12.2% | 7.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.7%
3 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Arouca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Famalicao | 0 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Famalicao | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 45% | 100% |
| Defense | 36% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Famalicao | Arouca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 42% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Draws | 17% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 42% | 58% | 50% |
Form: Famalicao: WWDWLDDDWWLDLWLLLWWLWLWD • Arouca: WLDDLWLDLLLLLWDDLWLWWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Famalicao | Arouca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 8 | 29 | 17 | 15 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 23 | 29 | 52 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Famalicao | Arouca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 50% | 71% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 21% | 38% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 8% | 25% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Famalicao | Arouca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Famalicao | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Famalicao | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-0 | 0-4 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Famalicao | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 53.7% | 46.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Famalicao or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.83 @ 188Bet
Draw3.97 @ Pinnacle
Away5.37 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Famalicao
vs
Arouca
Expected goals
2.99
Famalicao xG
League Avg: 1.45
Total
3.83
0.84
Arouca xG
League Avg: 1.23
1x2 probabilities
Home
72.1%
Draw
12.2%
Away
7.4%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
9.7%
Tip
3 - 0
9.6%
Tip
2 - 1
8.2%
More chances
1.5+
85%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Famalicao = 2.99 (league 1.45), Arouca = 0.84 (league 1.23)
| Arouca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Famalicao | 0 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.1% · Draw 12.2% · Away win 7.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1