Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:15 • Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.47) 0.79 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.3% 27.3% 21.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
FC Andorra
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 11.0% 8.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.5% 12.3% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 8.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD Ceuta FCFC Andorra
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack56%31%
Defense69%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Ceuta FC FC Andorra
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins67%20%42%33%30%32%
Draws11%40%26%33%30%32%
Loses22%40%32%33%40%37%

Form: AD Ceuta FC: LLLWDWDWDWWLLLWWDDW • FC Andorra: DWWLWDWLLDLDDLLDLWW

League goals

Metric AD Ceuta FC FC Andorra
HATHAT
GF total121022101121
GF avg1.31.01.21.11.11.1
GA total71623101626
GA avg0.81.61.21.11.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD Ceuta FCFC Andorra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%63%74%79%
1.526%37%26%37%
2.516%16%11%16%
3.50%5%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD Ceuta FCFC Andorra
HATHAT
Clean sheets437314
Failed to score145235

Penalties

MetricAD Ceuta FCFC Andorra
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricAD Ceuta FCFC Andorra
Wins22
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-11-3
Biggest losses1-24-11-34-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricAD Ceuta FCFC Andorra
Form61%39%
Att64%36%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : AD Ceuta FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ 188Bet
Draw3.53 @ 1xBet
Away3.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AD Ceuta FC = 1.41 (league 1.47), FC Andorra = 0.79 (league 1.11)

FC Andorra
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Ceuta FC 0 11.0% 8.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.5% 12.3% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.0% 8.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.3% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 21.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1