Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio Fernando Torres
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.51)
1.92 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.8% | 21.3% | 62.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.7%
0 - 2
12.2%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Madrid W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Madrid CFF W | 0 | 6.6% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Madrid CFF W | Real Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 50% | 64% |
| Defense | 50% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Madrid CFF W | Real Madrid W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 33% | 42% | 38% | 83% | 67% | 75% |
| Draws | 25% | 8% | 17% | 0% | 17% | 8% |
| Loses | 42% | 50% | 46% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Form: Madrid CFF W: DWLDWWLWLLWWWLLWLLLDWLDL • Real Madrid W: DLWWDWWWWWLWWWWLWWWWWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Madrid CFF W | Real Madrid W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 21 | 35 | 29 | 24 | 53 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 16 | 29 | 45 | 5 | 12 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Madrid CFF W | Real Madrid W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 79% | 83% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 42% | 67% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 13% | 46% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 13% | 21% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 8% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Madrid CFF W | Real Madrid W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Madrid CFF W | Real Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Madrid CFF W | Real Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 12-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 12 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Madrid CFF W | Real Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 28% | 72% |
| Total | 32.2% | 67.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Madrid W
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home8.20 @ 1xBet
Draw5.20 @ Marathonbet
Away1.34 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.48 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ Superbet
No2.08 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Madrid CFF W
vs
Real Madrid W
Expected goals
0.79
Madrid CFF W xG
League Avg: 1.51
Total
2.71
1.92
Real Madrid W xG
League Avg: 1.35
1x2 probabilities
Home
14.8%
Draw
21.3%
Away
62.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
12.7%
Tip
0 - 2
12.2%
Tip
1 - 1
10.1%
More chances
1.5+
84%
Chance
2.5+
59%
Chance
3.5+
42%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Madrid CFF W = 0.79 (league 1.51), Real Madrid W = 1.92 (league 1.35)
| Real Madrid W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Madrid CFF W | 0 | 6.6% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.8% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 62.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1