Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 13:30 •
Sports Centre de Bongerd
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.71)
1.92 (league 1.53)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.2% | 21.1% | 37.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 1
7.6%
1 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Katwijk | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barendrecht | 0 | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Barendrecht | Katwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 55% | 55% |
| Defense | 45% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Barendrecht | Katwijk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 54% | 29% | 41% | 46% | 31% | 38% |
| Draws | 15% | 14% | 15% | 8% | 46% | 27% |
| Loses | 31% | 57% | 44% | 46% | 23% | 35% |
Form: Barendrecht: LLLWLLWWLDLWLWDWLWWLLWWDWDL • Katwijk: LWWLLLWDLLWWLDWDDLDWDLWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Barendrecht | Katwijk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 22 | 50 | 23 | 18 | 41 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 27 | 37 | 64 | 21 | 19 | 40 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Barendrecht | Katwijk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 93% | 69% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 59% | 58% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 41% | 27% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 19% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Barendrecht | Katwijk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Barendrecht | Katwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Barendrecht | Katwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-5 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 8-0 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Barendrecht | Katwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 36.3% | 63.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Katwijk and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.35 @ Dafabet
Draw4.20 @ Betfair
Away2.00 @ Dafabet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.42 @ Superbet
No2.88 @ BetVictor
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.75 @ BetVictor
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Barendrecht = 1.93 (league 1.71), Katwijk = 1.92 (league 1.53)
| Katwijk | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barendrecht | 0 | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 37.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
