Persha Liga
— Ukraine
Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 13:45 •
Arena Livyi Bereg
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.27)
0.63 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4% | 21.4% | 12.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
2 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Yarud Mariupol' | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Livyi Bereh | 0 | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Livyi Bereh | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 17% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Livyi Bereh | Yarud Mariupol' | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 60% | 60% | 60% | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Draws | 30% | 10% | 20% | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Loses | 10% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Livyi Bereh: LWWWLLWDWWWDWWDWWWDL • Yarud Mariupol': LLDWLWDLLLLLDLWWLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Livyi Bereh | Yarud Mariupol' | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 13 | 31 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Livyi Bereh | Yarud Mariupol' | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 15% | 20% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 10% | 5% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Livyi Bereh | Yarud Mariupol' | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Livyi Bereh | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Livyi Bereh | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-5 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Livyi Bereh | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Livyi Bereh or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Livyi Bereh
vs
Yarud Mariupol'
Expected goals
1.84
Livyi Bereh xG
League Avg: 1.27
Total
2.47
0.63
Yarud Mariupol' xG
League Avg: 1.02
1x2 probabilities
Home
65.4%
Draw
21.4%
Away
12.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
15.5%
Tip
2 - 0
14.3%
Tip
1 - 1
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
65%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
61%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Livyi Bereh = 1.84 (league 1.27), Yarud Mariupol' = 0.63 (league 1.02)
| Yarud Mariupol' | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Livyi Bereh | 0 | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.4% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 12.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1