Persha Liga
— Ukraine
Wed, Apr 8 2026 • 10:30 •
Stadion SKIF
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.27)
0.54 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.2% | 30.9% | 16.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.0%
0 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Metalurh Zaporizhya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yarud Mariupol' | 0 | 17.6% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.0% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 54% | 62% |
| Defense | 31% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Metalurh Zaporizhya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 30% | 18% | 24% | 9% | 20% | 14% |
| Draws | 20% | 27% | 24% | 36% | 10% | 24% |
| Loses | 50% | 55% | 52% | 55% | 70% | 62% |
Form: Yarud Mariupol': LLDWLWDLLLLLDLWWLDWDL • Metalurh Zaporizhya: LDWLLDLDLLLLLLLLDDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Metalurh Zaporizhya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Yarud Mariupol' | Metalurh Zaporizhya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 52% | 76% | 38% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 38% | 14% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 14% | 5% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Metalurh Zaporizhya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Yarud Mariupol' | Metalurh Zaporizhya |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.5% | 51.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Metalurh Zaporizhya
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Yarud Mariupol'
vs
Metalurh Zaporizhya
Expected goals
1.20
Yarud Mariupol' xG
League Avg: 1.27
Total
1.74
0.54
Metalurh Zaporizhya xG
League Avg: 1.02
1x2 probabilities
Home
52.2%
Draw
30.9%
Away
16.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
21.0%
Tip
0 - 0
17.6%
Tip
2 - 0
12.6%
More chances
1.5+
64%
Chance
2.5+
45%
Chance
3.5+
32%
Chance
BTTS
59%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Yarud Mariupol' = 1.20 (league 1.27), Metalurh Zaporizhya = 0.54 (league 1.02)
| Metalurh Zaporizhya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yarud Mariupol' | 0 | 17.6% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.0% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.2% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 16.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1