Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 17:00 •
Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.81)
5.67 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3% | 1.1% | 48.6% |
best score tips
0 - 5
11.3%
0 - 4
10.0%
0 - 3
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Bayern Munich W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen W | 0 | 0.2% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen W | Bayern Munich W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 100% |
| Attack | 35% | 100% |
| Defense | 59% | 94% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 26 | 5.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
80%
FT probability
3.5+
57%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen W | Bayern Munich W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Wins | 67% | 43% | 54% | 88% | 100% | 92% |
| Draws | 0% | 14% | 8% | 13% | 0% | 8% |
| Loses | 33% | 43% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Bayer Leverkusen W: LWWWWDLWWLLWL • Bayern Munich W: WWDWWWWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen W | Bayern Munich W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 29 | 22 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| GA total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bayer Leverkusen W | Bayern Munich W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 85% | 92% | 31% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 54% | 92% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 8% | 85% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 69% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 38% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen W | Bayern Munich W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen W | Bayern Munich W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen W | Bayern Munich W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 2-4 | 6-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen W | Bayern Munich W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 19% | 81% |
| Def | 13% | 88% |
| Poisson Distribution | 7% | 93% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 17.6% | 82.6% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Bayern Munich W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home14.00 @ Betfair
Draw7.17 @ Pinnacle
Away1.20 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.40 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.07 @ Pinnacle
No1.84 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bayer Leverkusen W = 0.40 (league 1.81), Bayern Munich W = 5.67 (league 1.55)
| Bayern Munich W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen W | 0 | 0.2% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.3% · Draw 1.1% · Away win 48.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1
